New Pending I-485 Inventory Report is out!!!

[sandy_anand]

http://www.uscis.gov/statistics/Employment%20Based%20I-485%20Pending%20Inventory%20as%20of%20January%2005 %202011.pdf

[sandy_anand]

EB-2 India has gone up from 24,254 in the Oct 2010 report to 24,628 now. No doubt a reflection of the porting of EB3 applications to EB2.

[PlainSpeak]

Yup these 374 EB3I these lucky few 374 EB3I
Guess there is a rush to port over to EB2. Maybe all thiS porting will cause EB2 to retrograde and EB3 will move ahead by 1 month so that lucky 1000 applicants ot of the pending 50 k eb3 i will because current out of which the lucky 500 will get the GC

Yaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

EB3 I is too easy to please ........

[amitjoey]

EB-2 India has gone up from 24,254 in the Oct 2010 report to 24,628 now. No doubt a reflection of the porting of EB3 applications to EB2.

It is also EB2 applicants with older PDs that were stuck in BEC's and did not file during visa gate 2007. These applicants are now filing 485's and are now being counted.

[Project_A]

EB3-I data from the past Inventory reports:
62,607
60,874
59,636
58,843
56,640
58,440 <--- see additional 1800?? Where are these coming from?? Also notice the jump from 40,429 to 47,627 for EB3- others?

[TeddyKoochu]

EB3-I data from the past Inventory reports:
62,607
60,874
59,636
58,843
56,640
58,440 <--- see additional 1800?? Where are these coming from?? Also notice the jump from 40,429 to 47,627 for EB3- others?


It is also EB2 applicants with older PDs that were stuck in BEC's and did not file during visa gate 2007. These applicants are now filing 485's and are now being counted.


Refer to a note at the top of the inventory it says that it includes the district office demand as well this is missing from the October inventory. This may the rise for EB3-I it will also be a factor in the rise for EB2-I. Agreed that those waiting to file 485 now are filing now however for EB3 the pre 2002 demand is actually less in the Jan 2011 Inventory when compared to the Oct 201o Inventory.

[kaarmaa]

Will I get a chance to file I-485 this year? I'm going through very tough times now..

[PlainSpeak]

I hope that you can file for 485 to help you in your tough times but my friend please remember that being able to file for 485 might be better than being on H1B but being able to file for 485 in itself is NOT so great. Yes you will have EAD and AP but there are restrictions to EAD and AP such as on EAD you can join another companty only after 180 days of filing of 485 and the job has be a permenant job with an open ended offer, plus u will have 140 revocation hanging on ur head. While travelling on AP you never know if you will get harrased at the POE or not. Believe me it is not like a GC in any way. The uncertainity of H1B is still there.

[sunny1000]

I was comparing EB3-I from the oct 1, 2010 and jan 5,2011 reports for 2001 and 2002. The total numbers actually went up (especially in 2001 from 191 to 325). They must have mopped up all the applications from their field offices (and continue to do so) after that USCIS memo that went out regarding I-485 pending cases.

So, the next report in Mar/Apr will have a "close to reality" total of all the pending I-485 (both SC and field offices).

[belmontboy]

It is also EB2 applicants with older PDs that were stuck in BEC's and did not file during visa gate 2007. These applicants are now filing 485's and are now being counted.

looks like EB3 to EB2 porting is not that bad as projected (about 500 per month) by teddy.

I guess overall this is +ve news for EB2.
Can't wait for the spillover season :)

[hkancharla]

EB3 - Looks like only 1640 Visas approved from12/11/2009 to 01/05/2011. With comparsion to EB2 for every 10 EB2 visas approved EB3 1 visa got approved. So Sad :confused:


Date 2001 2002
12/11/2009 1511 8155
01/05/2011 325 7701
--------------------------------------------
1186 454

Total: 1640

EB2
Date Till 2005 2002
12/11/2009 11245 18847
01/05/2011 1181 13516
-----------------------------------------------------
10064 5331

Total: 15395

[Nabeel]

http://www.uscis.gov/statistics/Employment%20Based%20I-485%20Pending%20Inventory%20as%20of%20January%2005 %202011.pdf

For those concerned about difference/increase in pending inventory (as of 05 January 2011) please pay attention to the heading of the inventory which shows the new Inventory as of January 05, 2011 includes Pending cases at Service Centers and Fields Office. It used to say pending cases at Service Centers only.

All Employment Based I 485 Inventories pending at the Service Center and Field Offices as of January 05. 2011.
VS
“All Employment Based I 485 Inventory pending at the Service Cents as of October 01. 2010.

Now difference makes sense to me.

[optimist]

EB3-I data from the past Inventory reports:
62,607
60,874
59,636
58,843
56,640
58,440 <--- see additional 1800?? Where are these coming from?? Also notice the jump from 40,429 to 47,627 for EB3- others?

What worries me especially is the sudden jump in April 2001 EB3-I numbers from 98 last time to 229 this time. Is this due to 245(i) dependent cases who are showing up now from the district offices?

April 2001 used to be a giant black hole from which it took us several years to emerge. I hope we are not seeing a re-birth of that black hole.

This is especially significant for EB3-I folks with PD 2001/2002. Most of them are not planning to port to EB2 because the destination seemed near. But if we are again pulled back by the April 2001 curse, we have to think seriously about porting. Waiting another decade is not an option for most of us.

[Leo07]

Harsh reality is that, only Luck can take EB2-I that far.

Join IV's efforts, get in touch once with your local senator & congressman/woman. Once you are enrolled in their email list, they will frequently email you with updates and you can participate based on the bills that come up on floor.

If it makes you feel any better, I have AKQJ10 of spades in terms of "going through very tough times".

Three things that I'm trying to do, if it helps you:
a. Pray to whatever God you believe in.
b. Don't try to do anything stupid/rash/unwarranted/crazy.(This is really challenging part).
c. Say to yourself, that if you hang-in there long enough, you'll get through.

I apologize, if it sounds like preaching to others. Please ignore, if it doesn't make sense.

Will I get a chance to file I-485 this year? I'm going through very tough times now..

[sunny1000]

What worries me especially is the sudden jump in April 2001 EB3-I numbers from 98 last time to 229 this time. Is this due to 245(i) dependent cases who are showing up now from the district offices?

April 2001 used to be a giant black hole from which it took us several years to emerge. I hope we are not seeing a re-birth of that black hole.

This is especially significant for EB3-I folks with PD 2001/2002. Most of them are not planning to port to EB2 because the destination seemed near. But if we are again pulled back by the April 2001 curse, we have to think seriously about porting. Waiting another decade is not an option for most of us.

I hope so too. I think we will get a better picture in the next report 3 months from now as they continue to mop up the field office cases and streamline it at TSC. The one thing that struck me was that if these cases are approvable, the field offices would not have sat on them this long (apr 2001 has been current for a long time now). There must be some issues (RFE, no response, missing docs etc) in these cases which they consider pending and not approvable or deniable, for that matter. Just my 2 cents.

[abhatti]

Experts and Gurus,

I have tried to put Inventory data analysis together for EB3 ROW. I shall do EB3 India as well later on today. For EB3 ROW data is showing increased inventory for almost all the years since 1997 with the exception of 1999, 2002 and 2004. total inventory difference between Oct 1 2010 and January 5 2011 is 7198.

I know there are few applications being filed here and there for depenedents who inherit earlier priority dates. But ~7200 applications is a bit difficult to understand. Am I missing some thing?

I am attaching the analysis chart.

Atif

[kaarmaa]

Harsh reality is that, only Luck can take EB2-I that far.

Join IV's efforts, get in touch once with your local senator & congressman/woman. Once you are enrolled in their email list, they will frequently email you with updates and you can participate based on the bills that come up on floor.

If it makes you feel any better, I have AKQJ10 of spades in terms of "going through very tough times".

Three things that I'm trying to do, if it helps you:
a. Pray to whatever God you believe in.
b. Don't try to do anything stupid/rash/unwarranted/crazy.(This is really challenging part).
c. Say to yourself, that if you hang-in there long enough, you'll get through.

I apologize, if it sounds like preaching to others. Please ignore, if it doesn't make sense.

Thank you. I will try to contribute with my participation. I'm reading a lot of stuff here to help me with the meetings. This site is a source of valuable information.

[ameerka_dream]

I-485 Inventory (http://hammondlawgroup.blogspot.com/2011/01/i-485-inventory.html)

The USCIS has released their I-485 Inventory Chart of pending cases as of January 2011. The USCIS I-485 Inventory Chart displays the total number of pending adjustment of status applications, per preference category, priority date and per country. The USCIS also issued separate charts for India, China, Mexico and the Philippines as those countries historically have higher demand for visas and reach their yearly quota.


The Inventory Report shows a total of 44,475 EB2 cases and 127,493 EB3 cases. However, the breakdown by country is most interesting:

EB2 (2nd Preference) EB3 (3rd Preference)
Total 44,475 127,493
Philippines 807 9,734
India 24,628 58,440
China 10,912 4,140
Mexico 231 7,552
All Others 7,897 47,627

Also, the breakdown by priority date shows 2007 as the first year where the number of EB2 and EB3 cases are almost equal (15,918 EB2 cases and 16,711 EB3 cases). This compares to a disparity of 18,850 EB2 cases to 37,412 EB3 cases with 2006 priority dates and a huge disparity of 774 EB2 cases to 29,567 EB3 cases with 2005 priority dates.

Keep in mind that the world-wide level for employment-based green cards is at least 140,000 per year. The breakdown by country and category is significant because the first preference, second preference and third preference categories each get 28.6% of the overall limit and there is a per-country limit of 7% of the overall total. Any unused numbers from a category trickle down to the next lower category and across the countries in that category.The I-485 Inventory Chart can not be used as a sole basis for predicting visa availability. Instead, one must also consider the NVC Inventory Report (last issued in the Fall 2010), the pending I-140 cases categorized by country and priority date, the approved I-140 cases since summer 2007 (the last time of full visa availability) categorized by country and priority date, and to a lesser extent, the number of pending PERM cases categorized by country and priority date (although that inventory is less important because it will contain more recent priority dates since 2009).
However, when coupled with the other reports, here are a few conclusions:

1. Philippines should move forward much more rapidly than India, China and all other categories. Although the NVC inventory chart from the fall 2010 showed the Philippines with the highest number of EB3 cases (44,903), that includes an accumulation of many years of cases. For example, a vast majority of EB3 Philippines are professional nurses which don’t normally qualify for H-1b but get to bypass the PERM labor certification process. Thus, the NVC inventory number for the Philippines would include most approved I-140’s. Furthermore, the low number of EB2 Filipino cases provides for more visa numbers to trickle down to the EB3 Filipino category.

2. Within a few years we may begin to see less disparity between EB2 and EB3 cases. Last quarter the USCIS reported that they had approximately 60,000 cases that have “upgraded” from EB3 to EB2. That means the EB3 line will eventually be less clogged, while the EB2 category will become more clogged – although EB2 should continue to fair better than EB3, it may not be with such a wide disparity.

3. There are better days in the long-term for visa availability. The visa backlog continues to suffer from the high volume of filings in the early to mid 2000’s due to a booming economy, 245i filings that were backlogged at the state level, the implementation of the PERM system, backlog reduction efforts on I-485 cases around 2005-2006, and the influx of filings in the summer of 2007 (“visagate”). However, the number of filings at the Department of Labor and USCIS has significantly decreased in the last two years. What’s the result? Once we get passed the hurdle of the 2003-2007 cases, we should begin to see a significant improvement in processing times.
Posted by Sherry L. Neal at 1:05 PM

[TeddyKoochu]

Experts and Gurus,

I have tried to put Inventory data analysis together for EB3 ROW. I shall do EB3 India as well later on today. For EB3 ROW data is showing increased inventory for almost all the years since 1997 with the exception of 1999, 2002 and 2004. total inventory difference between Oct 1 2010 and January 5 2011 is 7198.

I know there are few applications being filed here and there for depenedents who inherit earlier priority dates. But ~7200 applications is a bit difficult to understand. Am I missing some thing?

I am attaching the analysis chart.

Atif

Atif this addition is due to the incorporation of the district office demand on the inventory. You would find the first line on the inventory stating that. There was a recent memo regarding that as well but since enough time has not elapsed it might be a WIP still and only the next inventory will have the full picture.

[sandy_anand]

I-485 Inventory (http://hammondlawgroup.blogspot.com/2011/01/i-485-inventory.html)

The USCIS has released their I-485 Inventory Chart of pending cases as of January 2011. The USCIS I-485 Inventory Chart displays the total number of pending adjustment of status applications, per preference category, priority date and per country. The USCIS also issued separate charts for India, China, Mexico and the Philippines as those countries historically have higher demand for visas and reach their yearly quota.


The Inventory Report shows a total of 44,475 EB2 cases and 127,493 EB3 cases. However, the breakdown by country is most interesting:

EB2 (2nd Preference) EB3 (3rd Preference)
Total 44,475 127,493
Philippines 807 9,734
India 24,628 58,440
China 10,912 4,140
Mexico 231 7,552
All Others 7,897 47,627

Also, the breakdown by priority date shows 2007 as the first year where the number of EB2 and EB3 cases are almost equal (15,918 EB2 cases and 16,711 EB3 cases). This compares to a disparity of 18,850 EB2 cases to 37,412 EB3 cases with 2006 priority dates and a huge disparity of 774 EB2 cases to 29,567 EB3 cases with 2005 priority dates.

Keep in mind that the world-wide level for employment-based green cards is at least 140,000 per year. The breakdown by country and category is significant because the first preference, second preference and third preference categories each get 28.6% of the overall limit and there is a per-country limit of 7% of the overall total. Any unused numbers from a category trickle down to the next lower category and across the countries in that category.The I-485 Inventory Chart can not be used as a sole basis for predicting visa availability. Instead, one must also consider the NVC Inventory Report (last issued in the Fall 2010), the pending I-140 cases categorized by country and priority date, the approved I-140 cases since summer 2007 (the last time of full visa availability) categorized by country and priority date, and to a lesser extent, the number of pending PERM cases categorized by country and priority date (although that inventory is less important because it will contain more recent priority dates since 2009).
However, when coupled with the other reports, here are a few conclusions:

1. Philippines should move forward much more rapidly than India, China and all other categories. Although the NVC inventory chart from the fall 2010 showed the Philippines with the highest number of EB3 cases (44,903), that includes an accumulation of many years of cases. For example, a vast majority of EB3 Philippines are professional nurses which don’t normally qualify for H-1b but get to bypass the PERM labor certification process. Thus, the NVC inventory number for the Philippines would include most approved I-140’s. Furthermore, the low number of EB2 Filipino cases provides for more visa numbers to trickle down to the EB3 Filipino category.

2. Within a few years we may begin to see less disparity between EB2 and EB3 cases. Last quarter the USCIS reported that they had approximately 60,000 cases that have “upgraded” from EB3 to EB2. That means the EB3 line will eventually be less clogged, while the EB2 category will become more clogged – although EB2 should continue to fair better than EB3, it may not be with such a wide disparity.

3. There are better days in the long-term for visa availability. The visa backlog continues to suffer from the high volume of filings in the early to mid 2000’s due to a booming economy, 245i filings that were backlogged at the state level, the implementation of the PERM system, backlog reduction efforts on I-485 cases around 2005-2006, and the influx of filings in the summer of 2007 (“visagate”). However, the number of filings at the Department of Labor and USCIS has significantly decreased in the last two years. What’s the result? Once we get passed the hurdle of the 2003-2007 cases, we should begin to see a significant improvement in processing times.
Posted by Sherry L. Neal at 1:05 PM


The article states "Last quarter the USCIS reported that they had approximately 60,000 cases that have “upgraded” from EB3 to EB2." Wonder where they got that information. I think it is wrong.

[veni001]

The article states "Last quarter the USCIS reported that they had approximately 60,000 cases that have “upgraded” from EB3 to EB2." Wonder where they got that information. I think it is wrong.

That's what the lawyers speculate to attract more business!! Total PERM approvals for FY 2010 is about 70,000 only!(source DOL) :o

[lc1978]

Filed 7 years back, managing and training these so called 'more qualified' EB2 :(

Mr PlainSpeak you are an Idiot, you don't know what the F...k you are speaking. There are 4 EB2 candidates reporting to me, Being in EB3 means not that we are junk or lack of capabilities. I filed in EB3 9 years back just waiting for my turn that's it you nuts. :mad:

[belmontboy]

Filed 7 years back, managing and training these so called 'more qualified' EB2 :(

Don't generalize, everybody knows there are some cases like yours

If you are complaining soo much about being in wrong category, why don't u port to EB2?

Trash talking or trying to prove MS degree is waste of money, isn't going to help your situation.

BTW: PlainSpeak is a moron, if that makes you feel comfortable :)

[kate123]

The article states "Last quarter the USCIS reported that they had approximately 60,000 cases that have “upgraded” from EB3 to EB2." Wonder where they got that information. I think it is wrong.

Report is definitely wrong.. if there were 60,000 porting cases, then total number of EB2 for India would definitely be more that 24K... atleast it would be 55K+... so obviously 60K portings are not true..