Eb2 march 2012 visa bulliten predictions

[harika10]

Hi,
my PD is 18-march 2010.Please share everyone your thoughts regarding march 2012 bulliten.

Thank You All in Advance

[ajaybhardwaj228]

I think your dates will be current for sure in March bulletin. i am back in Nov 2010 but still have hopes that it ll pass that date..lets see how it goes.

[john-mac]

I think march 2010 will be current in oct 2013

[smuggymba]

Hi,
my PD is 18-march 2010.Please share everyone your thoughts regarding march 2012 bulliten.

Thank You All in Advance

The heading is a statement and then you end up asking a question. Many reds coming your way but not from me. Mine is 31st march, 2010..lol

[s416504]

Can you update your profile ??

Hi,
my PD is 18-march 2010.Please share everyone your thoughts regarding march 2012 bulliten.

Thank You All in Advance

[gc_when]

Will see movements of 6 more months AT LEAST.

[Abhi_OneDay]

Hi,
my PD is 18-march 2010.Please share everyone your thoughts regarding march 2012 bulliten.

Thank You All in Advance

Based on all the predictions going around on the web, some educated guesses and other wild once (mind you its a guess game still and ever will be)...its 60-40 in favor of forward movement of anywhere between 3-6 months at this time

[digital2k]

Only Change can be Action Items and efforts for community by community.
Action item: HR 3012: Week of 01/16/2012 - Immigration Voice (http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/showthread.php?goto=newpost&t=2586064)

[Abhi_OneDay]

somebody on Q's blog reporting that his friend got NVC fee notice with PD of April 2010 ;)

[Jsad]

Does not really matter in the bigger picture. How fast the I-485 approvals are coming in is the thing to watch(for those who are current )

Mine is May 2010(EB2 I)...I may or may not be current in the next VB..but all i would have achieved is to jump into another queue and be faced with multiple EAD/AP renewals.

Unless visa numbers are available and processing times improve(which it does not look like because they are creating a huge demand)... it may become another painstaking process

[UKannan]

somebody on Q's blog reporting that his friend got NVC fee notice with PD of April 2010 ;)

Check your mailbox you might have missed the notice :cool:

[skpanda]

It does not matter for me as well (since I have no use for the EAD for next 2 years atleast).. but that does not mean its the same for everyone.

There are many people who would love to have EAD for their wifes on H4, be able to use AC21 to change employers (especially the employers that suck), be able to travel freely without the hassle of H1B stampings and 221gs.

Dont generalize your situation with everybody. People are obviously excited and hope they become current.

Good Luck to 2010 filers (especially the ones who badly need to be current for various reasons).

Does not really matter in the bigger picture. How fast the I-485 approvals are coming in is the thing to watch(for those who are current )

Mine is May 2010(EB2 I)...I may or may not be current in the next VB..but all i would have achieved is to jump into another queue and be faced with multiple EAD/AP renewals.

Unless visa numbers are available and processing times improve(which it does not look like because they are creating a huge demand)... it may become another painstaking process

[Jsad]

I certainly wish everyone well and hope they do become current and we can carry on with our goals and dreams(that sometimes get put on hold because of the GC process). I would very much like to change employers as well & travel without stamping worries.

But the final piece of freedon is the actual card, and that there is no telling how long that could take. Few months or years... The more i understand about the process the more painstaking it becomes..that's the message i was trying to convey.

Again, i certainly wish everyone, including yourself well and hope the next VB moves as far ahead as possible.

I also hope the 3012 bill gets taken up in the Senate very soon.

It does not matter for me as well (since I have no use for the EAD for next 2 years atleast).. but that does not mean its the same for everyone.

There are many people who would love to have EAD for their wifes on H4, be able to use AC21 to change employers (especially the employers that suck), be able to travel freely without the hassle of H1B stampings and 221gs.

Dont generalize your situation with everybody. People are obviously excited and hope they become current.

Good Luck to 2010 filers (especially the ones who badly need to be current for various reasons).

[skpanda]

Thanks.. I totally understand the frustration... most people including me.. have that...
HR3012 seems to be the best thing that can happen to all of us.. especially our borthers in EB3. They deserve a break... EB2 is in a much better situation.

Fight for HR3012!!



I certainly wish everyone well and hope they do become current and we can carry on with our goals and dreams(that sometimes get put on hold because of the GC process). I would very much like to change employers as well & travel without stamping worries.

But the final piece of freedon is the actual card, and that there is no telling how long that could take. Few months or years... The more i understand about the process the more painstaking it becomes..that's the message i was trying to convey.

Again, i certainly wish everyone, including yourself well and hope the next VB moves as far ahead as possible.

I also hope the 3012 bill gets taken up in the Senate very soon.

[ashwaghoshk]

The AILA’s Business Committee Chairs met with the Department of State’s Charles Oppenheim some time back. Charles Oppenheim is the Department of State’s Chief of the Control and Reporting Division. He is the officer who is responsible for producing the Visa Bulletin each month. Based on the meeting, AILA predicts that EB-2 numbers will jump another six months in the next Visa Bulletin which is published in mid-February.

The EB-2 progression will stop at that point until the summer they said.

[harika10]

:p
The heading is a statement and then you end up asking a question. Many reds coming your way but not from me. Mine is 31st march, 2010..lol

[Debashish]

Apologize for asking my question here, but since EB2 priority dates are being discussed, I thought I would ask for my case.

My EB2 priority date is March-2011. Any idea when it will become current. It is really frustrating for my Wife to sit at home on a H4 as She wants to work ASAP, hence the question.

Thanks in advance for your replies.

[tingudi]

It is really frustrating for my Wife to sit at home on a H4 as She wants to work ASAP, hence the question.


Welcome to USA..:)

With the way things are going, it should be current by the end of the year or early next year. Just hope & pray the dates don't retrogress.

With HR.3012, it might be little quicker.

[krishmunn]

Apologize for asking my question here, but since EB2 priority dates are being discussed, I thought I would ask for my case.

My EB2 priority date is March-2011. Any idea when it will become current. It is really frustrating for my Wife to sit at home on a H4 as She wants to work ASAP, hence the question.

Thanks in advance for your replies.

People have waited (and EB3s are still waiting) for years and you/your wife are frustrated in jusy 10 months !!! Get real

[psagarn]

My EB2 priority date is March-2011. Any idea when it will become current. It is really frustrating for my Wife to sit at home on a H4 as She wants to work ASAP, hence the question.

Thanks in advance for your replies.
Well, if she is frustrated are you/she doing something about it other than probing IV folks for their predictions? Something like contributing to IV both in monetary and non-monetary ways? I don't mean to be rude but we Indians are notorious for not doing anything for our problems, we either blame the govt or pray to God. Not saying that each of us is like that, exceptions are always there.

[UKannan]

Apologize for asking my question here, but since EB2 priority dates are being discussed, I thought I would ask for my case.

My EB2 priority date is March-2011. Any idea when it will become current. It is really frustrating for my Wife to sit at home on a H4 as She wants to work ASAP, hence the question.

Thanks in advance for your replies.

Tell her about the stories of people who've been waiting for a decade and hopefully the frustruation will go away :D

[Gandhi_II]

Well, if she is frustrated are you/she doing something about it other than probing IV folks for their predictions? Something like contributing to IV both in monetary and non-monetary ways? I don't mean to be rude but we Indians are notorious for not doing anything for our problems, we either blame the govt or pray to God. Not saying that each of us is like that, exceptions are always there.

"I don't mean to be rude but we Indians are notorious for not doing anything for our problems, we either blame the govt or pray to God"

Amen. :):D

[belmontboy]

Apologize for asking my question here, but since EB2 priority dates are being discussed, I thought I would ask for my case.

My EB2 priority date is March-2011. Any idea when it will become current. It is really frustrating for my Wife to sit at home on a H4 as She wants to work ASAP, hence the question.

Thanks in advance for your replies.

You are only 9 months into this process and already frustrated??

You are not the only one to face these problems, people have been there and have felt the same pain. As someone suggested, tell her stories of people who have been waiting for 5+, 10+ yrs.

If you set a realistic expectation your frustrations can be overcome.
Channel your/her frustrations to something more productive - ex: getting an advance degree, start a family, build up skill set

To answer our question - without HR 3012, follow the simple calculation: PD + 5 yrs = GC.
Right now we are unsure how many are in the pipeline, so estimating when you will get EAD is impossible. May be in a couple of months we can guesstimate.

[blue_green]

she doesn't have to wait for EAD...h1b is there if she is qualified......



Apologize for asking my question here, but since EB2 priority dates are being discussed, I thought I would ask for my case.

My EB2 priority date is March-2011. Any idea when it will become current. It is really frustrating for my Wife to sit at home on a H4 as She wants to work ASAP, hence the question.

Thanks in advance for your replies.

[vikram agrawal]

Hi,

I have seen lot of people posting I-140 mailing date . What is that and why is it important


vikram agrawal

[rudrasg79]

Debashish ki to lay li sabne....

[psaxena]

Abhi to USCIS ne leni shuru ki hai ..

Iftedaay ishq rota hai kyun ghalib
aagay aagay dekh hota hai kya ghalib.

[Rb_newsletter]

It is really frustrating for my Wife to sit at home on a H4 as She wants to work ASAP



Dude, she doesn't have kill the time and get frustrated. She can do HR3012 action items. She can help IV core in advocacy. I am sure she will like it.

[shouldIwait]

Apologize for asking my question here, but since EB2 priority dates are being discussed, I thought I would ask for my case.

My EB2 priority date is March-2011. Any idea when it will become current. It is really frustrating for my Wife to sit at home on a H4 as She wants to work ASAP, hence the question.

Thanks in advance for your replies.

If the concerned proposal that USCIS is currently working on, becomes a Rule she might be eligible to apply for EAD, as early as May, provided that you have completed 6+ years on non-immigrant visas at the time of application. See below...

View Rule (http://www.reginfo.gov/public/do/eAgendaViewRule?pubId=201104&RIN=1615-AB92)

[agelesstraveller]

Apologize for asking my question here, but since EB2 priority dates are being discussed, I thought I would ask for my case.

My EB2 priority date is March-2011. Any idea when it will become current. It is really frustrating for my Wife to sit at home on a H4 as She wants to work ASAP, hence the question.

Thanks in advance for your replies.

Hello brother,

As you might have understood from all types of responses above. It would be better for your wife to start looking for a job that gets her H1B sponsorship. It will not be a rose walk for her but surely her hard work will pay off. If you want an estimate on PD of Mar 2011. With or without HR 3012 it should be in years and a lot will depend on number of AOS filed after recent jumps.

[sixburgh]

This is from AILA's Visa Office Update on Priority Dates and Demand (posted Jan 23, 2012)

On Thursday, January 19, 2012, Business committee chair Mike Nowlan and Students & Scholars committee member, Roberta Freedman, discussed the Visa Bulletin, visa demand in the employment preference categories, and predictions for FY2012 with Charlie Oppenheim of the Visa Office. Notes from that discussion are:

EB green card usage has been very slow in FY2012, so DOS is advancing the dates to see how many cases are out there. Mr. Oppenheim is relying on USCIS and their estimate. USCIS thought more would come in, but 50% their estimate have actually filed an AOS. This movement is due in large part to the clearing out of the EB-2 2007 AOS cases. Mr. Oppenheim reminds AILA that DOS cannot "see" the I-140 cases that are approved and for which adjustment of status had been requested prior to September 2010, though he can "see" cases for which consular processing is requested.
Mr. Oppenheim could not speculate why usage is slow/low. Economy? Foreign nationals lost jobs?
Low usage of EB-1 numbers is assumed again this year. A fall-down of 12,000 additional EB-1 numbers into EB-2 is calculated into Mr. Oppenheim's projections for 2012, although he thinks EB-1 number availability may be down by approximately 1,000 as compared to last year, due to heavier EB-5 usage since unused EB-5 numbers "spill up" to EB-1 and then down to EB-2.
Mr. Oppenheim is very surprised by the severe downturn in EB-1 numbers. We cited the impact of Kazarian on USCIS filings and demand for EB-1-1 numbers, and the fact that it is difficult for an owner-beneficiary to obtain approval of EB-1-3 petitions.
About 34% of the total number of permanent visas have been used this year, and 45% should be used by end of February.
Adjustment of status through USCIS accounts for 85% to 90% of all EB green card cases.
The impact on number usage of upgrades (EB-3 to EB-2) is still unknown. Upgrades were the reason the priority dates advanced so slowly in in the beginning of FY2011. For upgrades, the EB-3 case does not get cleared out of the system until the EB-2 for the same person is approved.
Mr. Oppenheim also wonders whether demand is weak for visas for dependent family members, and so fewer green cards are needed.
Mr. Oppenheim meets monthly with USCIS and the Ombudsman's office to review the receipt of cases. There was a recent meeting to discuss December numbers. There will be another review before he decides what he will do in March.


Prediction:

Employment-based priority dates will advance again with the March Visa Bulletin, likely by at least a few months. An advance of six months is possible, although an advance of one year is not likely. He will know as this month moves on. With normal USCIS adjustment of status processing times of four-to-six months, March is the last time for Mr. Oppenheim to get the AOS cases filed and possibly approved in FY2012. He will then probably hold the priority date over the summer, and then retrogress or advance it if needed. Mr. Oppenheim does not have enough data to predict demand and priority date changes in the last quarter of FY2012.
• USCIS is agreeing to the priority date advances, though significant advances are bit of a gamble for USCIS, because if they get inundated with adjustment filings, and subsequently there is priority date retrogression, USCIS will have to process EAD and advance parole extensions without additional fees. As we all know, retrogression causes chaos.