October bulletin - a new angle

[brahmam]

OK, now that we all are agonizing over what's gonna happen, I think the following could be a possibility. USCIS has pre-adj almost 150,000 apps and has got nothing more to do now and the new Q1 for 2010 has around 35,000 visa numbers available to be processed.

Would DOS let CIS sit on their bums with not much to do other than process any new 485s that could be filed by ROW or would DOS move the dates to 2008 or 2007 so that any more people that still need to file 485 can do so and CIS stays busy. I think they would want to keep CIS busy. this would of course not mean every one of us will get approved since EB2/3 India and china only have around ~3000 visa numbers available in Q1 2010.

who votes for this russian roulette option? :D

[nousername]

Nice.. Now that's what I call as out of box thinking lol ;) not sure where you got the idea from but it was a fun light read. Have a good weekend.

OK, now that we all are agonizing over what's gonna happen, I think the following could be a possibility. USCIS has pre-adj almost 150,000 apps and has got nothing more to do now and the new Q1 for 2010 has around 35,000 visa numbers available to be processed.

Would DOS let CIS sit on their bums with not much to do other than process any new 485s that could be filed by ROW or would DOS move the dates to 2008 or 2007 so that any more people that still need to file 485 can do so and CIS stays busy. I think they would want to keep CIS busy. this would of course not mean every one of us will get approved since EB2/3 India and china only have around ~3000 visa numbers available in Q1 2010.

who votes for this russian roulette option? :D

[windycloud]

That would be sweet I guess. My PD is Oct. 07. :)

[waitforevergc]

People:

Please pray that EB2I becomes 2008 :)

I desperately want to file for i-485 and get EAD since my job is in shaky ground.

Please pray for me folks.

[red200]

missed the july , august 2007 deadline by 2 weeks, even when my PD was way before that.
Hope PD comes to 2007, Life would be lot easier

[Abhinaym]

That would be sweet I guess. My PD is Oct. 07. :)

Same here. Would like the prayers along with waitforevergc....

:D

[TeddyKoochu]

Dear Friends, My sincerest hopes and prayers that EB2-I dates advance my PD is Jul 2007 and we narrowly missed the Jul 07 windfall. I hope our wait for EAD & AP ends this year!

My mind says its difficult, heart says pray for it, maybe our wishes and prayers are granted in the Oct VB. Good luck to all :)

[eyeswe]

While I may not subscribe to the theory of no work at CIS, if most cases are pre-adj and so the dates have to move forward, I do believe that the 485 is now essentially a two step process
Step 1: Accepting 485, EAD, AP apps.. with the EAD and AP being optional
You need the PD date to apply to this step 1.

Then comes the prep work for Step 2 ---a spate of FP, Medical, background checks, RFE's and a ton of those beore they can say your case is waiting for Visa number...
And then ..
Step 2 : Your case is now adjudicated . When the visa number becomes available you get the magic card...

If the work for Step 2 for most of the applicants has been done .. then there is no harm in moving the PD to accept more of Step 1 apps... at least that is how my pea sized brain thinks...
They can always control Step 2 through a combo of PD, RD, ND and what not... so while several of 2006,2007 may be current again in 2010, they will only grant GC to one's who fit in their scheme of RD, ND's etc...

Just prophesizing....for 2010

[red200]

Gradually it has to come to 2007 for sure
because

1)It came till OCT 2006 in 2007 as well as in 2008 , There would be really few members who would have missed the two boats under EB2
but there will be EB3 -> EB2 conversions not sure how many , Hard to estimate

2)The applications to USCIS are gradually decreasing and the trend probably will continue in 2010, Hence lesser revenues for USCIS

so if PD is stable in coming months or even if it has slow and steady increment, I believe 2007 will be current again in coming 3 quarters, if it doesnt happen in oct bulletin

[saketkapur]

They have to advance the dates down the line to get more fees in order to keep the dumdums employed at the USCIS.........
That does not mean it translates into GCs.....its just more people get EADs and APs and continued revenue for USCIS.
I also won't be surprized if the fees go up in the next round.

Also until the CIR is passed there is no way they will eliminate the backlog as that will mean giving up their "cash cows"===a.k.a "us".......

Here is what I beleive will happen until amnesty is enacted(whether we like it or not our fate is tied to the illegals):
1. Dates will be moved forward and backward randomly to get more fees from new and old suckers like us(everytime the dates move fwd they raise our hopes and we hang on longer).....they don't want us to leave...they just want us to keep paying for their jobs...so as Obama says......"keep the HOPE train alive" even if its not moving an inch.
2. Increase the fees.....
3. Increase the rate of denials: more denials mean more MTRs mean more revenue......

Its a business and you will do whatever to survive.........nothing personal........

[letstalklc]

Dear Friends, My sincerest hopes and prayers that EB2-I dates advance my PD is Jul 2007 and we narrowly missed the Jul 07 windfall. I hope our wait for EAD & AP ends this year!

My mind says its difficult, heart says pray for it, maybe our wishes and prayers are granted in the Oct VB. Good luck to all :)

Same here my friend, I also missed narrowly....Hoping next bulletin EB2 india will be around 2007 end....

lets pray for and hope for the best...

[sammyb]

I already got a denial of my wife's application and had to pay $585 for the MTR :mad: ... that would be a nice source of revenue for the agency...

They have to advance the dates down the line to get more fees in order to keep the dumdums employed at the USCIS.........
That does not mean it translates into GCs.....its just more people get EADs and APs and continued revenue for USCIS.
I also won't be surprized if the fees go up in the next round.

Also until the CIR is passed there is no way they will eliminate the backlog as that will mean giving up their "cash cows"===a.k.a "us".......

Here is what I beleive will happen until amnesty is enacted(whether we like it or not our fate is tied to the illegals):
1. Dates will be moved forward and backward randomly to get more fees from new and old suckers like us(everytime the dates move fwd they raise our hopes and we hang on longer).....they don't want us to leave...they just want us to keep paying for their jobs...so as Obama says......"keep the HOPE train alive" even if its not moving an inch.
2. Increase the fees.....
3. Increase the rate of denials: more denials mean more MTRs mean more revenue......

Its a business and you will do whatever to survive.........nothing personal........

[forgerator]

I hope EB3 ROW date moves to Nov 2008, this way I can file for my I485 :D