Any thoughts on EB3 India progress

[xyzgc]

Originally Posted by sanju

Why quote some other tracker site, Lets quote figures from tracker on this site. In my opinion that site is anti-immigrants because their business thrives when people's applications are pending, so they would not want the applications to be approved. That's my fundamental difference with them.

I don't agree. Sorry.

Although I do not like trackers, but we can help each other to make site tracker more popular

Agreed.

BTW, can you please update the data in your profile, as right now, the data is incorrect.

My PD and category is correct. I'll correct everything else.

[sanju]

Originally Posted by xyzgc

My PD and category is correct. I'll correct everything else.

Thanks xyzgc, maybe we can team up to request others to add correct data. It will help us all. What say?


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[sanju]

Originally Posted by indyanguy

So, what are the options for EB3-I? It appears that porting to EB2 will be more difficult moving forward due to difficulties in getting PERM approved especially for IT professions.

If the recapture of unused visas does happen, what is the estimate on how much EB3I would move?

Figures suggest that there are over 800,000 pending applications. Recapture will get around approximately 215,000 green cards. We are shot of around 600,000 green cards, which will take around 4 years (@140k/yr EB green card) to address the current backlog, which contains your and mine application. This is a deep deep hole and EB3-I is at the bottom of this hole.


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[arunmohan]

Originally Posted by sanju

Figures suggest that there are over 800,000 pending applications. Recapture will get around approximately 215,000 green cards. We are shot of around 600,000 green cards, which will take around 4 years (@140k/yr EB green card) to address the current backlog, which contains your and mine application. This is a deep deep hole and EB3-I is at the bottom of this hole.


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Sanju:

Actual number of I-485 pending is 673,694, please refer the following link.

http://www.uscis.gov/files/article/N...ts_Oct2008.pdf

I don't know this number is only Employment based or it has included family based too.

Can someone please confirm this?

I beleive that the recapture is going to help us a lot.

[Chris Rock]

I sent to PM to some of you.

Thanks
-Rock

[gcisadawg]

Originally Posted by arunmohan

Sanju:

Actual number of I-485 pending is 673,694, please refer the following link.

http://www.uscis.gov/files/article/N...ts_Oct2008.pdf

I don't know this number is only Employment based or it has included family based too.

Can someone please confirm this?

I beleive that the recapture is going to help us a lot.

That number is correct. That is pending I-485's as of Oct 31st. That includes both family based as well as EB. In June 2008, Ron Gotcher wrote a post that EB 485s pending at that time was about 400K (From USCIS statistics - total pending as of June 30th - 740,969). He made that statement after he had a conversation with Mr. Charles Oppenheimer. We sliced and diced that number in one of the thread.

[GCplease]

Originally Posted by gcisadawg

FY EB1 EB2 EB3
2003 1,266 8,536 10,647
2004 2,998 16,262 19,889
2005 6,336 16,687 23,250
2006 3,156 3,720 3,006
2007 2,855 6,203 17,795
2008 5,327 14,819 3,576
21,938 66,227 78,163


Going forward, EB3 would be in 3000 to 4000 range unless we come together as a force and act.

Really sad to see these numbers.
Most of the EB3 numbers in 2004, 2005 and 2007 would have gone to Nurses and Physios.
Looks like, we have been in this 3 to 4k range for a while.
Heaven save us.

[indyanguy]

So, if there are 400k pending applications and recapture can get us 215K, has anyone done some analysis on how the 215k will be divided among countries and categories?

Will this make EB2I current and EB3 I beyond say 2005?

[gcisadawg]

Originally Posted by indyanguy

So, if there are 400k pending applications and recapture can get us 215K, has anyone done some analysis on how the 215k will be divided among countries and categories?

Will this make EB2I current and EB3 I beyond say 2005?

I don't think any analysis is done. That is only going to divide the community.
Some would say preference be given to EB category benefiting EB2(I&C).
Some would say PD should be given preference predominantly benefiting EB3(I).

If they follow the current spill-over rules, as you are aware, EB category would be given preference.

[kartikiran]

Pappu,

Thanks for the response.

Not to offend anybody. but if you take a look at the sample of this thread as you can see the topic of discussion has moved from an action item to statistics estimate.

I admire IV and all its administrators, because grassroots efforts are never easy. IV along with its admins, has definitely had done a lot of hard work to reach to this stage.

At the same time, I would appreciate all senior members, and whoever reading this to keep the discussions more as a follow-up on action items.

Irrespective of statistics and the decision-makings of USCIS, it is very evident that some form of law changes must occur to clean-up this GC process.

As step 1 is bring an awareness among senators/congressmen and including the president that there is a problem that exists. I think this must be the only focus now to bring the problem in front with all the other problems that exist right now in front of the american politicians.

Again my 2 cents.

[GCplease]

This Tracker facility we have in IV is good. Kudos to the Admin team who implemented this thing.

These are my observations. I could be grossly mistaken. Pardon me if I am wrong.

There are approximately 26,000 people who have put in their priority dates and other such data in the tracker. When I compared similar cases, I got some 265 who were EB3 India with a priority date in 2002. That is approximately 1 %, give or take.

Here I have ignored EB3 India 2001 guys. But that number would be very less I believe.

1% of 400k is 4000 which is what USCIS issues GC for EB3 India in a year.

Does that mean I could get my GC this year.

Hope these numbers are right.

[reddymjm]

I felt there were too many fields to fill in. It might help if we can take out some fields. Like RFE etc.

[reddymjm]

Originally Posted by GCplease

This Tracker facility we have in IV is good. Kudos to the Admin team who implemented this thing.

These are my observations. I could be grossly mistaken. Pardon me if I am wrong.

There are approximately 26,000 people who have put in their priority dates and other such data in the tracker. When I compared similar cases, I got some 265 who were EB3 India with a priority date in 2002. That is approximately 1 %, give or take.

Here I have ignored EB3 India 2001 guys. But that number would be very less I believe.

1% of 400k is 4000 which is what USCIS issues GC for EB3 India in a year.

Does that mean I could get my GC this year.

Hope these numbers are right.

http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/sh...3&postcount=16

[pappu]

Originally Posted by GCplease

This Tracker facility we have in IV is good. Kudos to the Admin team who implemented this thing.

These are my observations. I could be grossly mistaken. Pardon me if I am wrong.

There are approximately 26,000 people who have put in their priority dates and other such data in the tracker. When I compared similar cases, I got some 265 who were EB3 India with a priority date in 2002. That is approximately 1 %, give or take.

Here I have ignored EB3 India 2001 guys. But that number would be very less I believe.

1% of 400k is 4000 which is what USCIS issues GC for EB3 India in a year.

Does that mean I could get my GC this year.

Hope these numbers are right.

We are going to clean up data further in the coming weeks. People who have missing fields may not be part of the tracker etc. The analysis will also be expanded to give more representation of the data from all angles. We are also working on some more features in the tracker that will make it really informative. At this time we are waiting for everyone to input their data or update their data and also get others who do not have a profile on IV to come here and input their data. Please help us in this task and bring everyone to IV tracker. Once we have more data that can help us represent a better % of the overall actual applications in USCIS data, the analysis will be much better. At a later stage we are thinking of bringing some statistics experts on board to create monthly analysis of the data and publish report for our members.

[pappu]

Originally Posted by reddymjm

I felt there were too many fields to fill in. It might help if we can take out some fields. Like RFE etc.

in the current system it is not mandatory to fill out all the fields. if you want to leave out RFE, you can do so.

We felt that some people want to track RFEs and see how it affects the overall progress of the case. Even though we do not have such calculation, I think it would be worthwhile to have an analysis done on that. It would help people know when an RFE is generated how far their case is pushed back. RFE information will also help people in the same boat and they can make such people as buddies and monitor each others cases and contact each other to figure out what is going on or how the RFE was replied.