All Visa Bulletin Predictions and discussions here

[ita]

Originally Posted by hopefulgc

Even though i use data as a reference, I take it with a grain of salt... because a bunch of people don't bother to update their status once they have received their GC.
Also, a ton of people before 2004 are unapprovable for one reason or another like namecheck, etc (6 months namecheck rule is only for the books)

and .. whoever.. please take back your red dot.... imigrait is just reasoning here.

Why did you say that NC 6 months is only for books? They are not implementing it?

[willwin]

Originally Posted by albertpinto

any predictions for EB3-I . on that point I was wondering if this really happens and if it doesnot then whether EB3-I and even others should fight for.
EB2 needs around 5 years of experience and EB3 needs 2 years. this should mean that a EB3 person with a PD of 2002 should be equivalent to a EB2 person with PD of 2005 (2 years experience plus 3 years). and similarly and person in EB2 with PD of 2005 should be equivalent to a EB1 person with Pd of 2008 (not sure about this point though).
in other words the spillover should happen in such a way that the gap between EB2 and EB3 is roughly around 3 years. any thoughts ..

These are known secrets, anyway -

1. EB3 I will not move forward (beyond 2001) unless EB3 ROW becomes current.
2. Expect EB3 ROW to become current in 2 years if not next year (I have no data to support this - just a guesstimate)
3. USCIS will continue to work the same way as this year - approving numbers randomly but using close to 140K numbers every year - as they have enough cases and no name check
4. This FY USCIS asked for more numbers than they should anticipating several 485 denials (close to 50% - Per Ron Gotcher) and hence DOS used up over 81% by end of 3rd quarter. If similar thing does not happen next year, expect 'some' forward movement during 4th quarter of next FY.

Basically, EB3 I - lets go and do something useful rather than getting anxious about this whole thing. It helps keep our pressure under control.

[malaGCPahije]

Originally Posted by coopheal

I agree with willwin that EB3-I should not lose patience, but live life.
This is what I have been doing:
1) Contributing to IV with money
2) Contributing to IV with time for the phone etc campaigns.
3) Other than that stopped worrying about the VB and Processing times.

I am doing the same. Contribute as much as I can, read occasionally about someone getting their GC, feel happy about it, read jokes EB2 I and others make on EB3 I expense.... and focus on the other important things in life. Nothing more you can do. :-). Something will happen for good. The sine curve has to reverse direction and start moving upward someday.

[kopguy]

By far I think this is the most reasonable argument made towards EB3-I impasse. I think IM should use this argument during their lobbying efforts.

Kopguy
EB3-I PD: sep-03

Originally Posted by albertpinto

any predictions for EB3-I . on that point I was wondering if this really happens and if it doesnot then whether EB3-I and even others should fight for.
EB2 needs around 5 years of experience and EB3 needs 2 years. this should mean that a EB3 person with a PD of 2002 should be equivalent to a EB2 person with PD of 2005 (2 years experience plus 3 years). and similarly and person in EB2 with PD of 2005 should be equivalent to a EB1 person with Pd of 2008 (not sure about this point though).
in other words the spillover should happen in such a way that the gap between EB2 and EB3 is roughly around 3 years. any thoughts ..

[gconmymind]

??

[sheela]

Originally Posted by gconmymind

??

Generally, by the end of 2nd week of every month. So it could be tommorrow or a day-after

[pmurgai]

Originally Posted by buddyinsfo

Of late, ppl have been checking the bulletin on the US consulate - Mumbai's website. Normally that shows up a day or 2 b4 the bulletin on the uscis website. Anybody has the link?

Here is the link

http://mumbai.usconsulate.gov/cut_off_dates.html

[immique]

you don't "need" any experience to qualify for EB2 or EB1 and also EB3 for that matter. having experience for the position that one is applying is one way of qualifying for EB2. But for many of the Professional Occupations you do not need any experience to qualify for EB1 or EB2. EB categories are primarily based on one's skills, level of education and their usefulness to the US. your comments about PD comparisons between different categories is simply hypothetical in nature.

Originally Posted by albertpinto

any predictions for EB3-I . on that point I was wondering if this really happens and if it doesnot then whether EB3-I and even others should fight for.
EB2 needs around 5 years of experience and EB3 needs 2 years. this should mean that a EB3 person with a PD of 2002 should be equivalent to a EB2 person with PD of 2005 (2 years experience plus 3 years). and similarly and person in EB2 with PD of 2005 should be equivalent to a EB1 person with Pd of 2008 (not sure about this point though).
in other words the spillover should happen in such a way that the gap between EB2 and EB3 is roughly around 3 years. any thoughts ..

[sroyc]

Originally Posted by albertpinto

any predictions for EB3-I . on that point I was wondering if this really happens and if it doesnot then whether EB3-I and even others should fight for.
EB2 needs around 5 years of experience and EB3 needs 2 years. this should mean that a EB3 person with a PD of 2002 should be equivalent to a EB2 person with PD of 2005 (2 years experience plus 3 years). and similarly and person in EB2 with PD of 2005 should be equivalent to a EB1 person with Pd of 2008 (not sure about this point though).
in other words the spillover should happen in such a way that the gap between EB2 and EB3 is roughly around 3 years. any thoughts ..

I think it's tough to justify given how the EB process works currently. The EB categories are based on the job requirements rather than the applicant's qualifications/experience. The requirements for the same job are not likely to change in 5-8 years even though the candidate may be overqualified for it. It is for this reason that you'll find many MS students in the EB3 category and many PhD students in EB2. Yes, this system is fundamentally flawed since it ignores the processing time. The whole concept of GC being for a future job is a big joke.

[oliTwist]

http://www.alternet.org/immigration/...6fe587590f842e

[sprajulu]

Dear Friends
I need one suggestion to travel to india on I-131 ( Advance Payrole).
My I-131 ( Advance Payrole) valid till 10/20/2008.
Before that can I go to india for 20 days in August 2008 and come back ?
Is there any requirement that My I-131 ( Advance Payrole) validity should have minimum 6 months before we come back to USA.

Thanks in advance for your suggestion.

[jsb]

Originally Posted by sprajulu

Dear Friends
I need one suggestion to travel to india on I-131 ( Advance Payrole).
My I-131 ( Advance Payrole) valid till 10/20/2008.
Before that can I go to india for 20 days in August 2008 and come back ?
Is there any requirement that My I-131 ( Advance Payrole) validity should have minimum 6 months before we come back to USA.

Thanks in advance for your suggestion.

AP document clearly states that you need to present it to the US agent at the border within its validity date. As long as you show up at the US airport (or the border) by Oct. 20, you are fine.

[sprajulu]

Thank you very much for your information my friend.

[lifesucksinUS]

Guys,
Any news on the August 08 visa bulliten..
Any predictions for EB2

[conchshell]

I feel that EB2 I will move to July 2004. I doubt that EB3 I will retrogress, although it may not move forward as declared by last visa bulletin. Wish that next visa bulletin will make all of us happy.