EB2-EB3 Predictions (Rather Calculations II)

[TeddyKoochu]

Originally Posted by fatboysam

Hi Teddy,
A side question, Is their anyway to find out if my case is preajudicated or not ? my PD is Jan 2009.

Thanks

If you do not receive any RFE in the next few months you can assume that your case is pre-adjudicated. This is an internal status if you get some kind officer on the phone they can probably tell you if your case is in that status.

[TeddyKoochu]

Originally Posted by immigrant2007

Hi Teddy

With Number of Labors for ROW countries Certified being only 6800 upto Q2 (assuming EB2 ROW is current, how come ROW is still consuming EB2? where are the other EB2 cases for ROW coming from? Even Pending Inventory states these ROW pending cases are 11000.

How did you derive the figure as 6.8K for ROW? ROW inventory in the preceding years has been 6-7K in that regard 11K is a higher figure.

[immigrant2007]

Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu

How did you derive the figure as 6.8K for ROW? ROW inventory in the preceding years has been 6-7K in that regard 11K is a higher figure.

Hi Teddy I was referring to Approved Labro certifications for Q1-Q2 for Non India-China.

[moonrah]

Sorry to divert here...but

My priority date is June 2008. I applied 485 in Feb 2012. Fingerprinting is done but 485 still shows acceptance. My file is in NSC. Shouldn't they start reviewing it atleast? It has been more than four months and their deadline is 4 months. Is there anybody in the same boat?

Thanks in advance.

[immigrant2007]

Originally Posted by moonrah

Sorry to divert here...but

My priority date is June 2008. I applied 485 in Feb 2012. Fingerprinting is done but 485 still shows acceptance. My file is in NSC. Shouldn't they start reviewing it atleast? It has been more than four months and their deadline is 4 months. Is there anybody in the same boat?

Thanks in advance.

Sorry to divert here...but

My priority date is 2004. I applied 485 in July 2007. Fingerprinting is done thrice but 485 still shows in review . My file is in TSC. Is there anybody in the same boat? Oh I forgot to tell its EB3

[spiderman]

It looks like people are talking about number of applications per country.. I was wondering where that data comes from.

In other words, other than the visa bulletin, is there any other data that we have access to?

Originally Posted by ascetic

Did you mean the data regarding pre adjudication ? - it is not available anywhere.
Or did you mean the visa bulletin? - The link is in the last but two post.

[flthere]

Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu

How did you derive the figure as 6.8K for ROW? ROW inventory in the preceding years has been 6-7K in that regard 11K is a higher figure.

Hey Teddy ... quick question ... The senate's HR3012 amendment still says "... FY2012 .." .. Is it true that FY2012 visas are almost all exhausted so we won't see any visas from 2012 allocated even if HR 3012 passes ?

[mechanical13]

Originally Posted by flthere

Hey Teddy ... quick question ... The senate's HR3012 amendment still says "... FY2012 .." .. Is it true that FY2012 visas are almost all exhausted so we won't see any visas from 2012 allocated even if HR 3012 passes ?

There was a discussion about this earlier in the thread. It is likely that they will have to change the enforcement date to FY 2013 (Starting Oct 2012).

Once GCs are issued, they can't be revoked simply because of change in the law. Those GCs that have been issued are already gone.

[mechanical13]

Originally Posted by spiderman

It looks like people are talking about number of applications per country.. I was wondering where that data comes from.

In other words, other than the visa bulletin, is there any other data that we have access to?

There are multiple sets of data available in the public domain that can help with predictions:

1) Perm data from the DoL

2) 485 Pending inventory from USCIS

3) Demand data from the DoS

The calculation gurus use this data (along with other approximations and extrapolations) to arrive at amazingly accurate estimates. Teddy is the master-guru in this !

[mechanical13]

Gurus,

Is it true that "Demand Data" represents pre-adjudicated cases only?

If thats true, then the most recent DD should mean that approximately 11,500 and 8,000 485 applicants from India from 2008 and 2009 have been already pre-adjudicated.

So, does this mean that if we don't hear from back from USCIS in the next couple of months, we can assume our case has been pre-adj?

Does anyone know what the historical RFE rate has been?

[mzc123]

Demand Data used in the determination of the September 2012 Employment Preference Cut-Off Dates

http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/Empl...utOffDates.pdf

[SGP]

This means Sept 2012 should be out in a couple of days. This is the general trend which I have noticed.

[mzc123]

Originally Posted by SGP

This means Sept 2012 should be out in a couple of days. This is the general trend which I have noticed.

about time... but there isn't any excitment anticipated.. as usual, it will show "U".

Real test will be Oct 2012 VB.

[pd052011]

The demand data document reads like a sad story

[billu]

any predictions for FY2013 by the experts based on latest DD?