EB2-EB3 Predictions (Rather Calculations II)

[forever_waiting]

I think its we who are responsible for whipping up the frenzy . DoS doesn't care.

As the experts pointed out, the June VB will at least indicate if the calculations are in the right direction.

Originally Posted by cbpds

Somehow DOS manages to whip up a frenzy every month just before rolling out the bulletin..

Wonder how they manage to do it time and again.

[gcseeker101]

Reason is, they release data before VB. The data will appear very optimistic. We will start expecting good things. But for USCIS, it is just another VB. They prefer to be over cautious and waste visas instead of doing a good calculate and make correct date movements.

End of the day,
* We get disappointed.
* We will go into silent mode until next VB
Then history repeats.

Everything is a hype. They say 12k visas are available from EB1 as per their latest data. They say porting is very high. They move dates by a month. Nothing matches to their released numbers or date movements.

Originally Posted by cbpds

Somehow DOS manages to whip up a frenzy every month just before rolling out the bulletin..

Wonder how they manage to do it time and again.

[gc_peshwa]

Originally Posted by gcseeker101

End of the day,
* We get disappointed.
* We will go into silent mode until next VB
Then history repeats.

Good point. WE. Its WE who make our own destiny and WE can change it. A good first step is to get involved with IV initiatives.
Sorry for this hopeless pitch but it disappoints me to see highly intelligent and talented folks like yourself (all EB guys) become so negative and helpless.

[PrinceVA]

Originally Posted by vdlrao

Upcoming month's visa bulletin: June 2011 (Coming Soon)

Still waiting.
Mr. Rao,
I feel that you are very optimistic about this VB. Majority of your posts do hint for 2 yrs and PD go well in 2008.
I hope you are correct, and I wish you are correct.
Let us c.

[skantamneni]

http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/Empl...utOffDates.pdf

[Honda]

Thank you.

[jaocanada]

It was thought that it'd be published on 10 May. Nothing yet.. anyone have any idea when they'd publish the June '11 visa bulletin?

[voicerj]

Originally Posted by jaocanada

It was thought that it'd be published on 10 May. Nothing yet.. anyone have any idea when they'd publish the June '11 visa bulletin?

Come Friday and high chances of you getting current.

[sanz]

Hope they have good news on Friday 13th......

Jason's coming..........

[vdlrao]

Where is the bulletin.

[smuggymba]

Originally Posted by vdlrao

Where is the bulletin.

2 more days

[krish2006]

Teddy,

why did DOS added the following info in the May VB " numbers has been advanced more rapidly than normal"

Did you happen to parse these words on actually what they are implying. Do they think moving 7 weeks is more rapid than normal esp when using spillover.

"As mentioned earlier, the number of applicants who may be “upgrading” their status from Employment Third to Employment Second preference is unknown. As a result, the cut-off date which governs use of Section 202(a)(5) numbers has been advanced more rapidly than normal"

[TeddyKoochu]

Originally Posted by krish2006

Teddy,

why did DOS added the following info in the May VB " numbers has been advanced more rapidly than normal"

Did you happen to parse these words on actually what they are implying. Do they think moving 7 weeks is more rapid than normal esp when using spillover.

"As mentioned earlier, the number of applicants who may be “upgrading” their status from Employment Third to Employment Second preference is unknown. As a result, the cut-off date which governs use of Section 202(a)(5) numbers has been advanced more rapidly than normal"

I think we may make a couple of inferences here. a) They moved the dates forward by 7 weeks even before the traditional spillover season this indicates that the spillover will be larger than ever before b) They want to determine the true extent of porting the best way would be to move the dates more forward to test the waters. People whose dates are later are more likely to be inclined to port as waiting in EB3 is simply hopeless. I believe now if someone is from India the EB2-EB3 ratio is probably 80-20.

[veni001]

Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu

I think we may make a couple of inferences here. a) They moved the dates forward by 7 weeks even before the traditional spillover season this indicates that the spillover will be larger than ever before b) They want to determine the true extent of porting the best way would be to move the dates more forward to test the waters. People whose dates are later are more likely to be inclined to port as waiting in EB3 is simply hopeless. I believe now if someone is from India the EB2-EB3 ratio is probably 80-20.

Teddy,
One thing we need to keep in mind is there are only 10k EB3I between May 2006 and July 2007 based on 01-05-2011 inventory update!

[krish2006]

Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu

b) They want to determine the true extent of porting the best way would be to move the dates more forward to test the waters. People whose dates are later are more likely to be inclined to port as waiting in EB3 is simply hopeless. I believe now if someone is from India the EB2-EB3 ratio is probably 80-20.

If you look in the Jan 11 inventory , Total EB3 I numbers in May and June 2006 are about 1600 or so.

Do they expect to test waters with Just 1600 out of 12K numbers available to see how much porting is there?

What's ur take?