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Retrogression, priority dates and Visa bulletins Issues surrounding the retrogression of the priority dates for the various employment based categories

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  #1 (permalink)  
Old 03-15-2008, 03:04 AM
Senior Member
Priority Date
:
Jan-03
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
11/30/2005
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
N/A
I485 Mailed Date
:
06/06/2007
Compare
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 202
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Default Charts: Priority Date Movements FY 2005 - Present

I uploaded a file with some charts that show these crazy PD movements that rule our lives.

They cover the FY 2005 to Apr 2008 period. I marked the months where the date was current with a circle.

Enjoy
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  #2 (permalink)  
Old 03-15-2008, 02:06 PM
Senior Member
Priority Date
:
May-06
Category
:
EB2-NIW
I140 Mailed Date
:
05/25/2006
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
I-485
I485 Mailed Date
:
08/02/2007
Compare
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 530
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Googler View Post
I uploaded a file with some charts that show these crazy PD movements that rule our lives.

They cover the FY 2005 to Apr 2008 period. I marked the months where the date was current with a circle.

Enjoy
Your link has no attachment. Error message
"Invalid Attachment specified. If you followed a valid link, please notify the administrator"
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  #3 (permalink)  
Old 03-15-2008, 02:09 PM
Senior Member
Priority Date
:
Jan-07
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
05/27/2007
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
I-485
I485 Mailed Date
:
06/30/2007
Compare
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 343
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  #4 (permalink)  
Old 03-15-2008, 04:40 PM
Senior Member
Priority Date
:
Jan-03
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
11/30/2005
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
N/A
I485 Mailed Date
:
06/06/2007
Compare
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 202
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Default

How odd, I just tried it and it works.

I'll tried to attach it to this post but the file upload fails -- not sure why.

Ed to add: I attached it to a post on immigrationportal -- try this .

Last edited by Googler; 03-15-2008 at 04:44 PM.
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  #5 (permalink)  
Old 03-15-2008, 05:23 PM
Senior Member
Priority Date
:
May-06
Category
:
EB2-NIW
I140 Mailed Date
:
05/25/2006
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
I-485
I485 Mailed Date
:
08/02/2007
Compare
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 530
grupak has a reputation beyond repute grupak has a reputation beyond repute grupak has a reputation beyond repute grupak has a reputation beyond repute grupak has a reputation beyond repute grupak has a reputation beyond repute grupak has a reputation beyond repute grupak has a reputation beyond repute grupak has a reputation beyond repute grupak has a reputation beyond repute grupak has a reputation beyond repute
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Googler View Post
How odd, I just tried it and it works.

Ed to add: I attached it to a post on immigrationportal -- try this .
The second option works. Thanks.

So basically since Oct 2005, cutoff has settled near Oct 2002 with some random jumps? A small plateau near April 2003?
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  #6 (permalink)  
Old 03-15-2008, 07:58 PM
Senior Member
Priority Date
:
Nov-05
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
01/10/2006
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
I-485
I485 Mailed Date
:
06/29/2007
Compare
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 203
pmb76 is just really nice pmb76 is just really nice pmb76 is just really nice pmb76 is just really nice pmb76 is just really nice
Default

Thank you Googler for putting together this wonderful chart. I don't know how many of you are chartists. From what I can see is this:
EB-2 priority date processing has been in a consolidation phase since Aug 06. We see a triple bottom in the chart i) Aug 06 ii)Aug 07 and iii) March 08. This means that all the EB-2 cases with PDs prior to Dec 03 have been processed. There should be very significant movement of PD for EB-2 India in the coming months.
Also from the chart the next resistance level is around Oct 04 to Oct 05. I think towards the end of the year EB-2 India priority dates will be somewhere in Oct 2005 give or take a few months. Although the chart might suggest that we may be stuck in a range between Oct 04 and Oct 05 I am thinking that it moves more into the later part of 05 due to the effect of spillover of visa numbers from under-subscribed countries.

Overall things look very bullish as far as EB-2 priority dates go.
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  #7 (permalink)  
Old 03-15-2008, 08:02 PM
Junior Member
Priority Date
:
Sep-07
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
Chargeability
:
Bulgaria
Processing Stage
:
I-140
I485 Mailed Date
:
Compare
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 4
nervous-wreck is infamous around these parts nervous-wreck is infamous around these parts nervous-wreck is infamous around these parts nervous-wreck is infamous around these parts
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EXCELLENT CHART ANALYSIS MY FRIEND!!!

No if only we cud make some dough off of the expected BULL FLAG BREAKOUT..I wish
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  #8 (permalink)  
Old 03-15-2008, 11:24 PM
Senior Member
Priority Date
:
Jan-03
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
11/30/2005
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
N/A
I485 Mailed Date
:
06/06/2007
Compare
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 202
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by pmb76 View Post
Thank you Googler for putting together this wonderful chart. I don't know how many of you are chartists. From what I can see is this:
EB-2 priority date processing has been in a consolidation phase since Aug 06. We see a triple bottom in the chart i) Aug 06 ii)Aug 07 and iii) March 08. This means that all the EB-2 cases with PDs prior to Dec 03 have been processed.
I'm in a hurry right now -- but I really don't know how you got to all these conclusions...check out -- there are plenty of pre Dec 2003 cases. Hell, I am one of those unfortunate people.

I'll add my signature so you can see how it can happen that there are *still* people from pre-Dec-2003. Also go read Ron Gotcher's forum where he explains that CIS isn't processing enough cases every year
__________________
**************
PD: 1/30/03, EB-2, India
LC: 10/13/05 (Dallas BEC)
I-140 filed on 11/30/05; approved 4/06;
I-485 RD: 6/7/07 at TSC
I-485 ND: 6/15/07
FP Notice Date: 6/18/07; 7/11/2007
EAD Approved: 7/23/07 (no LUDs on EAD prior to this); EAD Card in mail: 7/30/07.
AP Approved 9/17/07: (LUDs: 8/12/07, 9/14/07; but no approval date showing on online system?!)

NC cleared on 10/22/07 uploaded on 11/5/07

I-485 Approved: 4/22/08 (email recd) physical card recd 4/28/08
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  #9 (permalink)  
Old 03-17-2008, 05:33 PM
Senior Member
Priority Date
:
May-05
Category
:
EB3
I140 Mailed Date
:
10/01/2005
Chargeability
:
Processing Stage
:
I-485
I485 Mailed Date
:
06/04/2007
Compare
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 243
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Default More EB3 ROW with PD 2004 to vote on poll

we need more EB3 ROW with PD 2004 to vote on poll to get a more accurate picture of # of pending 485s with USCIS.

Please vote on poll here: http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/sh...149#post231149

Thanks
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