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Retrogression, priority dates and Visa bulletins Issues surrounding the retrogression of the priority dates for the various employment based categories

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  #631 (permalink)  
Old 10-21-2009, 03:24 PM
Donor
Priority Date
:
Jan-06
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
04/06/2006
Chargeability
:
India
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I-485
I485 Mailed Date
:
07/31/2007
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Default

As you've mentioned the Jan visa bulletin will be an interesting one. If that is disappointing, we'll have to wait for the July visa bulletin. My guess is (and it's just an educated guess based on the numbers released by USCIS) that by March/April 2010, EB2-I dates will be around Aug/Sep 2005.

Quote:
Originally Posted by gc_on_demand View Post
geevikram

Sorry to say but future is bleak for EB2 India.There are only two option which can remove current backlog for EB2 India.
(1) Recapture

(2) USCIS doesn't process newly filled ROW EB2 , EB1 , EB4 and EB5 fast and allow DOS to give more spill over to EB2 India in connection with DOS follow quarterly spill over.


Personally I think none of these two is possible for next 6 months. Recapture is getting delay because of CIR and as per some member's talk with Oppenheim , DOS will not consider quarterly spill over until Jan 2010.

If none of this two happens then date for EB2 India will move average 6 months ahead in a fiscal year from where they are right now.

given that to reach your PD it will take 7 years and if people from EB3 port to EB2 then even longer.

And fact is that we are in such a minority that we cannot force recapture. We can fight to add it during CIR but until then I am pretty sure that we may not be able to see recapture. Some lawyers are just spreading hope in order to attract more visitors to their site. I have been following to them for past 2 years and I found this pattern.

Every 2-3 months they says there is a good chance for Recapture. When there is a any bill regarding immigration or any hearing regarding immigration they says there is a very good chance for passing it.
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  #632 (permalink)  
Old 10-21-2009, 03:33 PM
Donor
Priority Date
:
Oct-06
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
08/03/2007
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
I-485
I485 Mailed Date
:
08/03/2007
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Default You could force yourself to be an Optimist

Quote:
Originally Posted by geevikram View Post
gc_on_demand:
We have to wait for couple of visa bulletins before coming to this conclusion. I believe USCIS is a lot more transparent now.(just my opinion)

So, if we do not have much choice (as per your post), what other option do we have other than waiting?
Gvikram G, you you could force yourself to be an optimist but the reaclity is staring us in the face for many years now.
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  #633 (permalink)  
Old 10-21-2009, 03:53 PM
nrk nrk is offline
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Priority Date
:
Apr-06
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:
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I140 Mailed Date
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India
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I-485
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:
08/05/2007
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Default

I would love the idea of 5 year EAD plan + 5 year AP

Quote:
Originally Posted by vdlrao View Post
I feel bad for EB2 India not becoming current or atleast near to the current. But its too bad with EB3 India. Hopefully some EB immigration reform will be passed. If not EB3 India is completely distress. And ending up with lot of money on the EAD, H1B and H4 renewels. Hopefully the five year EAD plan will be worked out. But it needs lot of contribution and efforts on our side.
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  #634 (permalink)  
Old 10-21-2009, 03:56 PM
nrk nrk is offline
Senior Member
Priority Date
:
Apr-06
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:
India
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I-485
I485 Mailed Date
:
08/05/2007
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nrk is infamous around these parts nrk is infamous around these parts nrk is infamous around these parts nrk is infamous around these parts nrk is infamous around these parts nrk is infamous around these parts nrk is infamous around these parts nrk is infamous around these parts nrk is infamous around these parts nrk is infamous around these parts nrk is infamous around these parts
Default

Family based green cards got in 5 to 10 years ie mostly the application were filed prior IT boom.
Let us assume, If most of us got our GC's and then family based application were a big mess in the years to come

Quote:
Originally Posted by gc_on_demand View Post
Transparency will not help us ( After July 2007 filler , who miss AOS ). Even if USCIS release data every day its not going to make date current. Simple thing is demand is way high than supply. Its just our bad luck. I have seen so many people on family based got GC even after 5,10 years but we don't..
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  #635 (permalink)  
Old 10-21-2009, 05:48 PM
Senior Member
Priority Date
:
Jun-07
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
07/12/2007
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
I-140
I485 Mailed Date
:
08/11/2007
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Default

Is'nt that called a green card?

Quote:
Originally Posted by nrk View Post
I would love the idea of 5 year EAD plan + 5 year AP
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  #636 (permalink)  
Old 10-21-2009, 07:00 PM
nrk nrk is offline
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Priority Date
:
Apr-06
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:
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I-485
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:
08/05/2007
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Default

I believe Green card is 10 years valid and you don't need a parole document to travel.
Quote:
Originally Posted by gc_buddy View Post
Is'nt that called a green card?
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  #637 (permalink)  
Old 11-02-2009, 06:57 PM
Junior Member
Priority Date
:
Jul-07
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:
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ravikk is on a distinguished road
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by vdlrao View Post
I feel bad for EB2 India not becoming current or atleast near to the current. But its too bad with EB3 India. Hopefully some EB immigration reform will be passed. If not EB3 India is completely distress. And ending up with lot of money on the EAD, H1B and H4 renewels. Hopefully the five year EAD plan will be worked out. But it needs lot of contribution and efforts on our side.
VLDRao sir...

Can you provide us an updated calculation based on the data below of what the priority date might move to ... by the end of fiscal year 2010.

http://www.uscis.gov/USCIS/New%20Str...%20Reports.pdf

Thank you for all the keeping the hope alive buddy.
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  #638 (permalink)  
Old 11-04-2009, 04:06 PM
Senior Member
Priority Date
:
May-08
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
10/06/2008
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:
India
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:
I-140
I485 Mailed Date
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Thumbs up

Looks like this will happen very soon, as there won't be more than 30K 485 from ROW EB-2 That gives more than 42k visa's for I/C to make ALL EB2 CURRENT.
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  #639 (permalink)  
Old 11-05-2009, 03:01 AM
Member
Priority Date
:
Nov-07
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
01/21/2008
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
I-140
I485 Mailed Date
:
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Default

pg44 in this thread shows it exists, but won't pull up.
hope always shows it exists (esp. just before every visa bulletin) but dates wont pull up current....
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  #640 (permalink)  
Old 11-09-2009, 11:03 PM
Member
Priority Date
:
Jul-06
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
06/01/2006
Chargeability
:
China
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:
I-485
I485 Mailed Date
:
08/01/2007
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Default

OMG! Today's date is 11/09/2009, more than a year has passed, and has either India or China got anything closer to C ??
LOLLLLL!
Quote:
Originally Posted by vdlrao View Post
I presume EB2 India will be current by next October. Till now for EB2 India there are only 1/3 of 7% of 140K visas which are 3,266. Due to the new change of horizontal fall outs EB2 India exclusively getting about 32k visas, very little share to china. So this change making an availability of about 30k aditional visas to EB2 India along with regular 3,266. So total About 32K visas for EB2 India. This includes unused Family Visa Numbers as well. So from now on EB2 India getting almost 10 times more visas.

And due to the change to Horizontal Fall out of Visa Numbers from Vertical Fall outs, Its not the India which loses but its EB3 ROW.
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  #641 (permalink)  
Old 11-09-2009, 11:10 PM
Senior Member
Priority Date
:
Jun-07
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
09/18/2007
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
I-140
I485 Mailed Date
:
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Join Date: Oct 2007
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Arrow :)

These predictions were prudent at that time.In hindsight, the calculations were off, which vdlrao rightly admitted many times in the forum.

Best!
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  #642 (permalink)  
Old 11-10-2009, 12:18 AM
Donor
Priority Date
:
Jul-08
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
02/19/2009
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
I-140
I485 Mailed Date
:
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Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 168
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Default Give him a break

Guys, he was trying to make a prediction based on data points he had at that time. (Remember USCIS only recently published pending apps). He also accepted his mistake many times, so its time to move on...

Peace.
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  #643 (permalink)  
Old 11-10-2009, 12:31 AM
Senior Member
Priority Date
:
Oct-06
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
02/10/2007
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
I-485
I485 Mailed Date
:
07/29/2007
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Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 130
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Wendyzhu77 View Post
OMG! Today's date is 11/09/2009, more than a year has passed, and has either India or China got anything closer to C ??
LOLLLLL!
sachug has made some practical estimates based on recent USCIS pending date for EB2 and it may be close to reality.
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  #644 (permalink)  
Old 11-10-2009, 02:38 PM
Member
Priority Date
:
Aug-06
Category
:
EB2
I140 Mailed Date
:
Chargeability
:
Processing Stage
:
N/A
I485 Mailed Date
:
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Join Date: Nov 2009
Posts: 57
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Default

I concur.

Quote:
Originally Posted by vdlrao View Post
I feel bad for EB2 India not becoming current or atleast near to the current. But its too bad with EB3 India. Hopefully some EB immigration reform will be passed. If not EB3 India is completely distress. And ending up with lot of money on the EAD, H1B and H4 renewels. Hopefully the five year EAD plan will be worked out. But it needs lot of contribution and efforts on our side.
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  #645 (permalink)  
Old 07-31-2016, 10:21 AM
Senior Member
Priority Date
:
Nov-10
Category
:
EB3
I140 Mailed Date
:
Chargeability
:
India
Processing Stage
:
I-140
I485 Mailed Date
:
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Default

Some old gold stuff. Expectations back in 2008 !!!!
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