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  #3766 (permalink)  
Old 10-24-2011, 02:11 PM
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Default Cuerrent Situation

A friend here is a brief snapshot of the current situation. The projection remains unaltered. Everyone in 2007 will definitely get a chance at 485 filing, Q1 2008 folks are borderline. The movement most likely will happen in the next bulletin itself. Then they can retrogress the date or keep it there with no approvals, but Jul 15th seems to be a very stable point, dates won't go before that point.

- Everyone preadjudicated is getting approved. This means 5.6K the I/C cap is consumed.
- This year SOFAD may range from 20-25K it will be likely lesser than last year.
- Porting approvals and EB2 ROW and EB1 are also coming in steadily.
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  #3767 (permalink)  
Old 10-24-2011, 02:21 PM
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu View Post
A friend here is a brief snapshot of the current situation. The projection remains unaltered. Everyone in 2007 will definitely get a chance at 485 filing, Q1 2008 folks are borderline. The movement most likely will happen in the next bulletin itself. Then they can retrogress the date or keep it there with no approvals, but Jul 15th seems to be a very stable point, dates won't go before that point.

- Everyone preadjudicated is getting approved. This means 5.6K the I/C cap is consumed.
- This year SOFAD may range from 20-25K it will be likely lesser than last year.
- Porting approvals and EB2 ROW and EB1 are also coming in steadily.

Thanks Teddy ,
For your Prompt reply ,I am anxiously waiting for the next bulletin as I have stated my situation before,so got puzzled. You are an asset to this forum ,all this good work will surely pay off.
Regards
Ananya
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  #3768 (permalink)  
Old 10-24-2011, 02:56 PM
hbk hbk is offline
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu View Post
A friend here is a brief snapshot of the current situation. The projection remains unaltered. Everyone in 2007 will definitely get a chance at 485 filing, Q1 2008 folks are borderline. The movement most likely will happen in the next bulletin itself. Then they can retrogress the date or keep it there with no approvals, but Jul 15th seems to be a very stable point, dates won't go before that point.

- Everyone preadjudicated is getting approved. This means 5.6K the I/C cap is consumed.
- This year SOFAD may range from 20-25K it will be likely lesser than last year.
- Porting approvals and EB2 ROW and EB1 are also coming in steadily.
Tedyy Thanks a lot as always.
What are the chances of 485 approval for the people
With PD before Oct-2007 in this fiscal year ?

Will greatly appreciate your response.

Regards.
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  #3769 (permalink)  
Old 10-24-2011, 03:07 PM
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hbk View Post
Tedyy Thanks a lot as always.
What are the chances of 485 approval for the people
With PD before Oct-2007 in this fiscal year ?

Will greatly appreciate your response.

Regards.
I will maintain my old prediction for now, everyone till end of Oct 2007 will get approved. When exactly the approvals will happen depend on how many numbers are allocated by USCIS / DOS. Most likely approvals will take 6 months (Start of Q4) however if USCIS / DOS continue to allocate numbers freely or there is quarterly spillover the approvals can even come in 2-3 months.
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  #3770 (permalink)  
Old 10-24-2011, 04:48 PM
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Default

Though I got approved last week for my GC but would like to thank Teddy and bunch of other folks who did close to accurate calculations and help keep folks hope alive without which wait seems very longer.
Thanks Again Teddy.
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  #3771 (permalink)  
Old 10-25-2011, 12:52 PM
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All who are waiting for GC or waitin to apply 485 - hear are action items for this week. Please do it asap.

http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/fo...-oct-24-a.html (HR 3012: Action Items for the week of Oct 24)
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  #3772 (permalink)  
Old 10-25-2011, 02:21 PM
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu View Post
I will maintain my old prediction for now, everyone till end of Oct 2007 will get approved. When exactly the approvals will happen depend on how many numbers are allocated by USCIS / DOS. Most likely approvals will take 6 months (Start of Q4) however if USCIS / DOS continue to allocate numbers freely or there is quarterly spillover the approvals can even come in 2-3 months.
Teddy,

based on your estimate, when do you think July-2008'ers can file for 485?
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  #3773 (permalink)  
Old 10-25-2011, 02:42 PM
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by kaarmaa View Post
Teddy,

based on your estimate, when do you think July-2008'ers can file for 485?
It will happen next year, this year the line will be drawn up somewhere early in Q1 2008, I believe all 2007 folks will be able to file this year. Good luck to all Q1 2008 folks this zone is borderline any further movement may entirely be the agencies discretion but numerically looks very less likely.

Last edited by TeddyKoochu; 10-25-2011 at 02:45 PM.
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  #3774 (permalink)  
Old 10-25-2011, 04:16 PM
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by kaarmaa View Post
Teddy,

based on your estimate, when do you think July-2008'ers can file for 485?
I believe we should be able to file sometime between October to December 2012
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  #3775 (permalink)  
Old 10-25-2011, 05:47 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by krishmunn View Post
I believe we should be able to file sometime between October to December 2012
Friends the model of movement followed thus far resembles the FB model which is take demand in the first 3 months and retro. So in theory the next bulletin should be the last intake, the dates cannot be sustained at the current levels for long. Likewise the next iteration will come in Oct - Dec 2012 as Krish has commented. Letís all hope for the best for the Dec bulletin.
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  #3776 (permalink)  
Old 10-25-2011, 06:05 PM
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Default

Hi,

I am not sure where this is the proper thread to post this Question. Sorry if this is not relevant to this thread.

How much time does it take to get the Parole Document and EAD after the priority date becomes current.

I checked the processing times on USCIS Site and it shows 3 months. I guess that's the worst case scenario.

Thanks
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  #3777 (permalink)  
Old 10-25-2011, 08:00 PM
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Default 2009 Jan PD

Hi Teddy,

Sincere thanks for sharing your insight on this forum. When do you think someone with 2009 Jan PD would be able to file for I485?


Thanks,
Dexter
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  #3778 (permalink)  
Old 10-25-2011, 08:12 PM
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dexter View Post
Hi Teddy,

Sincere thanks for sharing your insight on this forum. When do you think someone with 2009 Jan PD would be able to file for I485?


Thanks,
Dexter
There are way too many unknowns however if the present trend continues then Oct 2013 (Very optimistic - 10%), Oct 2014 (Realistic - 80%) & Oct 2015 (Worst case - 10%)
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  #3779 (permalink)  
Old 10-25-2011, 08:14 PM
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by mars View Post
Hi,

I am not sure where this is the proper thread to post this Question. Sorry if this is not relevant to this thread.

How much time does it take to get the Parole Document and EAD after the priority date becomes current.

I checked the processing times on USCIS Site and it shows 3 months. I guess that's the worst case scenario.

Thanks
EAD and AP issuance have a SLA of 3 months; most people should get it in this timeframe.
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  #3780 (permalink)  
Old 10-25-2011, 09:22 PM
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Question Analogy

Unlike the last few years, the USCIS is applying the quarterly spillover this time. This is the only reason why the dates are moving and will eventually retrogress/halt from moving any more. The questions to answer are:

1. Does this mean the 2500 I/C quota for 2012 is already exhausted (since we saw approvals from applicants with Jun-07 dates)?

2. Will the dates now only move during the last three months of the 2012 fiscal year?

3. The SOFAD will be much less in the end (last quarter of 2012) since the quarterly spillover has taken effect for this year?

4. How will the dates mover forward provided the HR3012 passes?
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