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  #5596 (permalink)  
Old 03-16-2012, 04:30 PM
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ksrinivasan7021 View Post

Also bad news for folks who are expecting the future bulletin.

On March 16, 2012, at the AILA Midwest Regional Conference in Chicago, Charlie Oppenheim, Chief, Visa Control and Reporting at DOS, informed participants that he will likely retrogress India and China-mainland born Employment-Based Second Preference priority dates to around August 2007, effective with either the May or June 2012 Visa Bulletin. He also advised that he projects that all EB-1 visas available in FY2012 will be used this year, resulting in no "spilldown" to EB-2.

March 16, 2012 update from Charlie Oppenheim
Is there any place we can read full text of AILA doc 12031639? Reading a small paragraph will give an idea but we can't get full picture.

Anyway, one more reason to continue our support for HR3012.
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  #5597 (permalink)  
Old 03-16-2012, 05:32 PM
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Default

Only AILA memers (i.e. lawyers ) have access to that document.

But meanwhile, you can read analysis on these excellent websites:

1. Capitol Immigration Law Group: EB-2 India and China Prediction and Outlook for the Rest of the Fiscal Year

2. Matthew Oh: The Oh Law Firm

3. Ron Gotcher: March 16, 2012 update from Charlie Oppenheim

-A
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  #5598 (permalink)  
Old 03-16-2012, 05:47 PM
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Default AILA News & Projection

Friends I would not panic on the news letís wait and watch the news is disappointing (most likely true) but where the year ends in Sep 2012 is more important.
There can be 35K SOFAD this is a ball park projection over 12 months if the current rate of approvals is sustained. Note at this stage EB2 ROW which is our big hope has caught up. Now this logic would breakdown completely if the 56% limit for the first two quarters has been overshot. This level is also difficult without EB1 unless EB2 ROW totally collapses.

- NO SOFAD from EB1 because the Eb1 numbers on the other site are extremely high. I had posted this in Jan.

- Realistically some really old time people pre Aug 2007 are left. A lot of factors will play in some people filed late, demand destruction and maybe higher filing via CP route. Right now what we can bank on is EB5 - 6.5K and EB2 I/C - 5.5K = 12K. If EB2 ROW/M/P can provide another 20K which is possible if the ROW representation on has also doubled then we can still expect 30K plus SOFAD and pretty much cover entire 2008 (01-Jan-2009) else we will have 7-8K lesser than this which would be ~ 25K this way significant number of Jan filers and those left behind will be bumped over to the next year. The other site in the past has shown a very close correlation for EB2 ROW, I personally believe that ROW representation there may have also increased there but 2 fold is a bit higher

- Another approach is to consider it as 2 parts of the year. Part has given us ~ 20K SOFAD is set in stone and canít be taken back. Part 2 can give us anywhere from 5 Ė 15K still this opens things to a wide range from Mar 2008 to Dec 2008 considering that we are in deep demand destruction zone.
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  #5599 (permalink)  
Old 03-16-2012, 06:37 PM
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googly26 has a spectacular aura about googly26 has a spectacular aura about googly26 has a spectacular aura about
Default

Teddy Sir,
I am very new to all this and trying to learn all the terms being used. I am impressed the way you explain in all your posts ....read many of them....
Thanks again because people like me can also understand easily..... :-)
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  #5600 (permalink)  
Old 03-16-2012, 09:06 PM
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Thumbs up

Congratulations Teddy !
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  #5601 (permalink)  
Old 03-16-2012, 09:10 PM
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Congratulations Teddy !
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  #5602 (permalink)  
Old 03-17-2012, 09:57 AM
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu View Post
Friends I would not panic on the news letís wait and watch the news is disappointing (most likely true) but where the year ends in Sep 2012 is more important.
There can be 35K SOFAD this is a ball park projection over 12 months if the current rate of approvals is sustained. Note at this stage EB2 ROW which is our big hope has caught up. Now this logic would breakdown completely if the 56% limit for the first two quarters has been overshot. This level is also difficult without EB1 unless EB2 ROW totally collapses.

- NO SOFAD from EB1 because the Eb1 numbers on the other site are extremely high. I had posted this in Jan.

- Realistically some really old time people pre Aug 2007 are left. A lot of factors will play in some people filed late, demand destruction and maybe higher filing via CP route. Right now what we can bank on is EB5 - 6.5K and EB2 I/C - 5.5K = 12K. If EB2 ROW/M/P can provide another 20K which is possible if the ROW representation on has also doubled then we can still expect 30K plus SOFAD and pretty much cover entire 2008 (01-Jan-2009) else we will have 7-8K lesser than this which would be ~ 25K this way significant number of Jan filers and those left behind will be bumped over to the next year. The other site in the past has shown a very close correlation for EB2 ROW, I personally believe that ROW representation there may have also increased there but 2 fold is a bit higher

- Another approach is to consider it as 2 parts of the year. Part has given us ~ 20K SOFAD is set in stone and canít be taken back. Part 2 can give us anywhere from 5 Ė 15K still this opens things to a wide range from Mar 2008 to Dec 2008 considering that we are in deep demand destruction zone.
Agreed that there is no reason to panic. It has been SOP for CO/Dept of State to retrogress the dates to the last time such a thing happened. Last time dates retrogressed was in JUL/AUG-2007 so its reasonable to expect dates to fall back to that. Every time you see rapid PD movement, invariably, DoS gets spooked by USCIS inventory numbers. When that happens, they retrogress PD back to the last time such an action was taken. I would expect the dates to move forward soon after retrogression. Initially the movement will be slow if past is anything to go by.
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  #5603 (permalink)  
Old 03-17-2012, 11:16 AM
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Default Greened!!!

I got my CPO mail this morning.. Still waiting for my wife case to be touched.
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  #5604 (permalink)  
Old 03-17-2012, 11:37 AM
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by vbkris77 View Post
I got my CPO mail this morning.. Still waiting for my wife case to be touched.
Congrads!! enjoy the relief
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  #5605 (permalink)  
Old 03-17-2012, 12:20 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by vbkris77 View Post
I got my CPO mail this morning.. Still waiting for my wife case to be touched.
Congrats !!!!! enjoy.
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filing without current PD
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  #5606 (permalink)  
Old 03-17-2012, 04:23 PM
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu View Post
Friends finally at 12 PM EST received the CPO mails for me and my wife. Finally this is the culmination of a very long journey. Gives me a great happiness and relief in reaching this milestone which until a few years was just a dream.

My sincerest thanks and deepest gratitude is due to all of you for your wishes and kind words especially in the RFE phase. Immigration forums started for me as a place of learning and it still is only difference is that it is a part of life now; really good since it has introduced me to so many friends and given me a truly great opportunity to interact. I will definitely be around. I wish everyone waiting all the very best, I hope you all reach the milestone soon.
congrats teddy!
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Greened on 03/13/2012

note: this is not legal advice. pls consult a lawyer b4 any action.
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  #5607 (permalink)  
Old 03-17-2012, 04:25 PM
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theshiningsun has a brilliant future theshiningsun has a brilliant future theshiningsun has a brilliant future theshiningsun has a brilliant future theshiningsun has a brilliant future theshiningsun has a brilliant future theshiningsun has a brilliant future theshiningsun has a brilliant future theshiningsun has a brilliant future theshiningsun has a brilliant future theshiningsun has a brilliant future
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu View Post
Friends finally at 12 PM EST received the CPO mails for me and my wife. Finally this is the culmination of a very long journey. Gives me a great happiness and relief in reaching this milestone which until a few years was just a dream.

My sincerest thanks and deepest gratitude is due to all of you for your wishes and kind words especially in the RFE phase. Immigration forums started for me as a place of learning and it still is only difference is that it is a part of life now; really good since it has introduced me to so many friends and given me a truly great opportunity to interact. I will definitely be around. I wish everyone waiting all the very best, I hope you all reach the milestone soon.
congrats teddy n family.
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Greened on 03/13/2012

note: this is not legal advice. pls consult a lawyer b4 any action.
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  #5608 (permalink)  
Old 03-17-2012, 04:27 PM
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theshiningsun has a brilliant future theshiningsun has a brilliant future theshiningsun has a brilliant future theshiningsun has a brilliant future theshiningsun has a brilliant future theshiningsun has a brilliant future theshiningsun has a brilliant future theshiningsun has a brilliant future theshiningsun has a brilliant future theshiningsun has a brilliant future theshiningsun has a brilliant future
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by theshiningsun View Post
teddy n others,

got email today that my n my family's cases r approved. then got a 2nd email saying the below. any idea what this means?

good luck to everyone, hope esp that eb3 folks get some relief soon.

On March 13, 2012, we mailed you a notice that we had registered this customer's new permanent resident status. Please follow any instructions on the notice. Your new permanent resident card should be mailed within 60 days following this registration or after you complete any ADIT processing referred to in the welcome notice, whichever is later. If you move before receiving your card, please call our customer service center at 1-800-375-5283.

During this step the formal decision (approved/denied) is written and the decision notice is mailed and/or emailed to the applicant/petitioner. You can use our current processing time to gauge when you can expect to receive a final decision
rcvd physical gc's in the mail today. thx to IV n teddy in particular.
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Greened on 03/13/2012

note: this is not legal advice. pls consult a lawyer b4 any action.
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  #5609 (permalink)  
Old 03-17-2012, 04:45 PM
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Aug-07
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Default RFE on BC

We received the RFE letter today and states as,

"Please submit a photocopy of your official birth certificate. If the document is not in English, please include a certified English translation. If a birth certificate does not exist or cannot be obtained, you must demonstrate this and submit secondary evidence pertinent to the facts at issue"

We submitted copies of the original BC while submitting the I-485, which was in Both tamil and english [All information in both Tamil and English] should we submit a english only translation of the same along with affidavits from parents now?
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  #5610 (permalink)  
Old 03-18-2012, 12:50 AM
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Green Card Aspirant is infamous around these parts Green Card Aspirant is infamous around these parts Green Card Aspirant is infamous around these parts Green Card Aspirant is infamous around these parts Green Card Aspirant is infamous around these parts Green Card Aspirant is infamous around these parts
Default Regarding your birth certificate RFE

HI
I had the same text regarding my Birth certificate for my I 485. I got an affidavit from my mother and my uncle and submitted them.
I also had my birth certificate both in my native language and English. But my date of birth and registration date on the birth certificate are different. All i did was , got affidavits and answered the RFE.

To help you out... Received the same RFE as is as you mentioned on Feb 4th, 2012 via Email. Received the physical copy of the RFE to hand on Feb 10th , 2012.
Answered the RFE on March 1st 2012. My case updated on USCIS web site on March 7th 2012. On March 17th 2012 received Card Production Notice.. Nothing to worry .. please do send your affidavits as your green cards are waiting for you..

Good Luck.. Hope my experience will help you.. Between when my RFE came , I was in India and I answered the RFE after i came in to US on Advance parole.. So I too was scared .. as they might stop me in port of entry.. But at port of entry they did not ask me any questions..
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