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  #6031 (permalink)  
Old 05-09-2012, 04:24 PM
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EB3 Movement Tracking - Immigration Wiki

May Inventory Data
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  #6032 (permalink)  
Old 05-09-2012, 04:26 PM
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Default June-2012 bulletin out

Visa Bulletin For June 2012
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  #6033 (permalink)  
Old 05-09-2012, 04:40 PM
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Originally Posted by thomachan72 View Post
Ok that is from the inventory.
Why is there so much discrepency from the demand data and the inventory? Also notice the huge difference between the chinese and indian inventory per month in 08 and 09. Is there something wrong? Could there be some cumulative effect in the indian numbers? Based on the inventory there is approx 1000 per month in 08 and 09 (15k per year).
The demand data only shows preadjudicated cases which are probably close to just the 50% mark. Demand data also includes CP cases which the inventory may not include. So we are definitely looking at 48K. Also China normally averages 1/4th of India for most months sometimes their numbers could vary.
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  #6034 (permalink)  
Old 05-09-2012, 04:41 PM
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Originally Posted by dhakaldoo View Post
SO basically,
The dates wont move for next two years provided HR 3012 does not pass Correct?
That is definitely sad but true, if we see 22K SOFAD per year and 3K porting on top of the 48K figure then its definitely 2 years for another opportunity for everyone to file 485 again unless USCIS / DOS have something else in mind.
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  #6035 (permalink)  
Old 05-09-2012, 05:00 PM
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Default they had different plans for June 2012 VB

see the PDF version.
http://travel.state.gov/pdf/visabull...n_June2012.pdf

it shows EB2 - 15-Apr-07
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0 out of 1 members found this post helpful.
  #6036 (permalink)  
Old 05-09-2012, 05:04 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by phigi View Post
see the PDF version.
http://travel.state.gov/pdf/visabull...n_June2012.pdf

it shows EB2 - 15-Apr-07
The link you posted shows data for SEPT 2011.
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  #6037 (permalink)  
Old 05-09-2012, 05:07 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by phigi View Post
see the PDF version.
http://travel.state.gov/pdf/visabull...n_June2012.pdf

it shows EB2 - 15-Apr-07
Quote:
Originally Posted by SGP View Post
The link you posted shows data for SEPT 2011.
Please refer only to the following link for June 2012 dates: Visa Bulletin For June 2012
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  #6038 (permalink)  
Old 05-09-2012, 05:23 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu View Post
That is definitely sad but true, if we see 22K SOFAD per year and 3K porting on top of the 48K figure then its definitely 2 years for another opportunity for everyone to file 485 again unless USCIS / DOS have something else in mind.

Teddy- I understand from your statement that there will be some movement in October 2012, but you are saying it may not go as deep as May 2010. How much movement should we expect by December 2012.

Thank You!
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  #6039 (permalink)  
Old 05-09-2012, 05:24 PM
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Default Chill off till Oct

Looks like a never ending story ;-) <sarcasm>

Unless no legislation or a magical spillover occurs till October, I think no forward movement is to be expected.
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  #6040 (permalink)  
Old 05-09-2012, 05:25 PM
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Hi Teddy,

I am wondering about the following statement from USCISin the visa bulletin

"Despite the retrogression of the China and India Employment Second preference cut-off date to August 15, 2007, demand for numbers by applicants with priority dates earlier than that date remained excessive. Such demand is primarily based on cases which had originally been filed with the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) for adjustment of status in the Employment Third preference category, and are now eligible to be upgraded to Employment Second preference status. The potential amount of such “upgrade” demand is not currently being reported, but it was evident that the continued availability of Employment Second preference numbers for countries other than China and India was being jeopardized. Therefore, it was necessary to make the China and India Employment Second preference category “Unavailable” in early April, and it will remain so for the remainder of FY-2012.

Numbers will once again be available for China and India Employment Second preference cases beginning October 1, 2012 under the FY-2013 annual numerical limitations. Every effort will be made to return the China and India Employment Second preference cut-off date to the May 1, 2010 date which had been reached in April 2012. Readers should be advised that it is impossible to accurately estimate how long that may take, but current indications are that it would definitely not occur before spring 2013. "


Does it mean there is a lot porting going which doesn't reflect in the demand data published on May 3rd?

Thank you

Amul
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  #6041 (permalink)  
Old 05-09-2012, 05:40 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu View Post
That is definitely sad but true, if we see 22K SOFAD per year and 3K porting on top of the 48K figure then its definitely 2 years for another opportunity for everyone to file 485 again unless USCIS / DOS have something else in mind.
Teddy does that mean that the dates will be U for entire 2 years. I thought that they will be available again in sept (Oct bulletin) atleast until Aug 2007. Am I wrong ?
My PD is 2008 Eb3. Eb2 Labor is in audit so couldn't apply for 485. So I have to wait for 2 more years. That will 12 years stay in USA without GC then.
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  #6042 (permalink)  
Old 05-09-2012, 06:27 PM
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Yikes. The Pending Inventory makes the situation look far worse than the Demand Data painted picture. Again, this is definitely because pre-adjudicated cases are what DoS counts for Demand purpose while USCIS inventory counts everything thats been sent to their mailboxes.

The dates will remain U until OCT 2012 bulletin. At that point, it will see orderly movement of a few months rather than the drastic movement we saw earlier this winter. This is disappointing for many in EB2 but this has been the state of affairs in EB3 for quite sometime. EB2 window is definitely locked down atleast until next May for new filers (post MAY-2010 PDs). Those who got their GC/EAD+AP this winter should defintely be thankful.
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  #6043 (permalink)  
Old 05-09-2012, 07:58 PM
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Default Continue processing...

Even if Category becomes "U" - does USCIS will continue to process the applications which have already been filed?
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  #6044 (permalink)  
Old 05-09-2012, 08:01 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TeddyKoochu View Post
The demand data only shows preadjudicated cases which are probably close to just the 50% mark. Demand data also includes CP cases which the inventory may not include. So we are definitely looking at 48K. Also China normally averages 1/4th of India for most months sometimes their numbers could vary.
Is there any overlap between Inventory and Demand data??

Does the inventory include the demand data also???
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  #6045 (permalink)  
Old 05-09-2012, 09:47 PM
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June bulletin is no longer available on USCIS
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