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  #6451 (permalink)  
Old 10-25-2012, 07:59 PM
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Nothing will be sufficient for EB3I, only thing that would help is amnesty.
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  #6452 (permalink)  
Old 10-25-2012, 08:03 PM
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Originally Posted by bibliophile2020 View Post
Nothing will be sufficient for EB3I, only thing that would help is amnesty.
I am not sure the usage of the word "amnesty" will be correct for EB3. Quite nonsensical
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  #6453 (permalink)  
Old 10-27-2012, 05:10 PM
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Originally Posted by shouldIwait View Post
Agree on all but one point. May 485 inventory was not accurate just for the 2010 portion of filings not all filings in general. For my calculation I didn't consider that part. Technically it's possible for late filing by 2009 people too but I don't think a significant no. would've taken the risk of waiting that long. If demand data remains stable next month we can be sure of that. Also, your net spillover no. is just a ballpark guess but we are about calculations here.
Based on CO's latest comments, porting is far more significant than you're considering. I'm starting to think that 100/month number I've been using for porting is too low.
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  #6454 (permalink)  
Old 10-29-2012, 04:32 PM
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Originally Posted by The WalL View Post
Based on CO's latest comments, porting is far more significant than you're considering. I'm starting to think that 100/month number I've been using for porting is too low.
CO has made those comments earlier too and it has not turned out to be very significant. Remember that CO's comments are bound by legality surrounding the subject. So it might be "high" relative to 2800 annual quota but not high relative to 20k that is annually consumed by EB2-I.
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  #6455 (permalink)  
Old 10-29-2012, 04:46 PM
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I seem to think that Charles Opp is talking numbers in light of 2800 annual visa numbers available. However, it seems that he may wait until 4rth quarter to account for spill over so as to advance the date. That is bad for those with PD of 2005/2006. On the top of existing wait they have to wait for another 8 months now.

Please correct me if I am wrong.
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  #6456 (permalink)  
Old 10-29-2012, 04:51 PM
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Originally Posted by Fairnessforall View Post
I seem to think that Charles Opp is talking numbers in light of 2800 annual visa numbers available. However, it seems that he may wait until 4rth quarter to account for spill over so as to advance the date. That is bad for those with PD of 2005/2006. On the top of existing wait they have to wait for another 8 months now.

Please correct me if I am wrong.
You are right, I think. Also with regard to annual assignment bit of luck can make a huge difference like that guy on whose PD was last day of 2008 and got the cards in last years quota.
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  #6457 (permalink)  
Old 11-07-2012, 06:17 PM
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Default December Visa bulletion out.

http://travel.state.gov/pdf/visabull...cember2012.pdf

EB2-I - 01SEP04 and EB2-C 22OCT07
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  #6458 (permalink)  
Old 11-08-2012, 10:11 AM
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Default Dec Demand Data

http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/Empl...utOffDates.pdf

Analysis by Gurus?
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  #6459 (permalink)  
Old 11-08-2012, 10:36 AM
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Originally Posted by nmdial View Post
On the EB2-I front, its a bittersweet situation. Whereas last month DD showed Demand upto JAN-2007 to be 1100, now its up to 1300. Overall, EB2-I DD went up by 2100...and its going up across every split (200 prior to 2007-JAN, 400 in 2007, 500 in 2008, 275 in 2009 and 325 upto 2010-MAY). Thats the bad news.

The good news is that EB2-ROW DD piled up late last year is almost all gone. EB-C is not adding huge numbers to the demand (up by 125 over last month). With the election uncertainty behind, I think the EB2-I PD should move into mid/late-2006 by middle of winter. At the very least by the of end fiscal-2012, PD will move to early-2008. Obviously, there are still very many variables but I'm taking a fairly optimistic view here.
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  #6460 (permalink)  
Old 11-08-2012, 11:16 AM
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Default it will go till mid 2008

Quote:
Originally Posted by The WalL View Post
On the EB2-I front, its a bittersweet situation. Whereas last month DD showed Demand upto JAN-2007 to be 1100, now its up to 1300. Overall, EB2-I DD went up by 2100...and its going up across every split (200 prior to 2007-JAN, 400 in 2007, 500 in 2008, 275 in 2009 and 325 upto 2010-MAY). Thats the bad news.

The good news is that EB2-ROW DD piled up late last year is almost all gone. EB-C is not adding huge numbers to the demand (up by 125 over last month). With the election uncertainty behind, I think the EB2-I PD should move into mid/late-2006 by middle of winter. At the very least by the of end fiscal-2012, PD will move to early-2008. Obviously, there are still very many variables but I'm taking a fairly optimistic view here.
from my exp in past it will be june 2008 by sep 2013.
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  #6461 (permalink)  
Old 11-08-2012, 03:01 PM
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Default Any prediction please

Hi,

My priority date is Oct 23rd 2004 in EB2-India. Can the Gurus please let me know when can I expect my date to become Current?

My EB3 to EB2 Porting (EB2 I-140 approval) was succesfully done in March this year. But ever since the dates have been retrogressed. It is very unfortunate to miss the boat by couple of months early this year.

Thank you!
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  #6462 (permalink)  
Old 11-08-2012, 03:05 PM
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Originally Posted by soumeeram View Post
Hi,

My priority date is Oct 23rd 2004 in EB2-India. Can the Gurus please let me know when can I expect my date to become Current?

My EB3 to EB2 Porting (EB2 I-140 approval) was succesfully done in March this year. But ever since the dates have been retrogressed. It is very unfortunate to miss the boat by couple of months early this year.

Thank you!
as of now it is unknown ..
we can estimate it by 485 inventory report or demand data ..
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  #6463 (permalink)  
Old 11-11-2012, 01:01 PM
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Originally Posted by tmreddy View Post
Please take some time out to view this petition and sign it. Would be very helpful if you could forward this to others as well and get 25,000 signatures before Dec 1st, 2012.

Any person applying for Greencard (GC), or in the process of GC, or in the final stage (I-140 approved) and waiting for their priority date to get current, all of us and even people who would be applying for GC in the future, this petition might be very helpful in allowing us to file for EAD as soon as I-140 is approved so that we can continue working without any extra stress of waiting for our priority date to get current and renewing our H1B status every year(s).

Greatly appreciate it if you could spread the word out and sign it.

For signing it please click on the link below, it will take you to the petition page on the White-house.gov web page, there if you do not already have an account please create one ( a very simple process of just signing up for free) and then sign the petition.

Short URL: http://wh.gov/98wq

Share this URL: https://petitions.whitehouse.gov/pet...roval/FBSVvfQh
Done. Thx for posting this. I think this should be on seperate thread so everone gets attension. IV can help to spun a high priority thread on the forum.
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  #6464 (permalink)  
Old 11-11-2012, 01:18 PM
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I have signed it and asked around 20-30 of my friends to sign it too.......
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  #6465 (permalink)  
Old 11-12-2012, 09:02 AM
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Default Spillover estimate

Gurus,

Any estimate of spillover benefit for EB2 I/C this quarter?

Wonder if the demand data can tell anything.

Anxious to hear.
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