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  #1426 (permalink)  
Old 05-12-2011, 12:47 PM
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....

Last edited by akshaya10001; 05-12-2011 at 12:50 PM.
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  #1427 (permalink)  
Old 05-12-2011, 12:48 PM
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Assumption of porting cases 20% are cases with priority date befoer mid 2007
porting case with priority date before mid 2007 are cleared.
porting cases with PD after 2007 are part of 2007 to 2010 EB2 Demand.
Only additional factor is porting cases with priority date before mid 2007 and filed after Sept'2010.
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  #1428 (permalink)  
Old 05-12-2011, 12:50 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by indo_obama View Post
I agree with sachuin.....not everyone is EB2 . Anyway ai strongly believe if you can port and spend 10-20k on porting then do port or just RIP
The only way to port I see is finding a job which can utilize the experience that a person has gathered. With economy improving and companies hiring again, I would expect most of EB3 filers in 2009-2010 with a US MS/PhD to port to EB2 in near future (2012 onwards , just my gut feeling since all would want to have their I140 filed before they plan to port).Lets see what is there in future. Since we can not control future, we still have strong grasp on our present.
It would be great to unite under IV to push IV agenda across the EB community regardless if EB2/ EB3 and get our united voices heard by law makers enjoying cocktails in DC . Small legislative effort like 485 filing even when PD is not current can help lot of people to plan their immediate future.
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  #1429 (permalink)  
Old 05-12-2011, 12:52 PM
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  #1430 (permalink)  
Old 05-12-2011, 12:52 PM
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What is the probability that it would cross Feb 2008 by Sep 2011 visa Bulletin
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  #1431 (permalink)  
Old 05-12-2011, 12:53 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gujju View Post
Does anyone know how spill over from EB2 to EB3 works ?
Would EB3-I get the spill over first as they are the most backlogged country?
Any spill over to EB3 will first go to the EB3 people who have the oldest priority dates irrespective of the country. This will help EB3 India.


EB4 and EB5 Spills --> EB1 Spills --> EB2 Spills --> EB3 with old priority dates (India & China)--> EB3 ROW.



EB3 has a good future ahead, if the MNCs stops EB1C filings for their so called managers, who doesn't have much qualification or expertise than most of our EB3 firends.

Last edited by vdlrao; 05-12-2011 at 12:55 PM.
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  #1432 (permalink)  
Old 05-12-2011, 12:58 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by vdlrao View Post
Any spill over to EB3 will first go to the EB3 people who have the oldest priority dates irrespective of the country. This will help EB3 India.


EB4 and EB5 Spills --> EB1 Spills --> EB2 Spills --> EB3 with old priority dates (India & China)--> EB3 ROW.



EB3 has a good future ahead, if the MNCs stops EB1C filings for their so called managers, who doesn't have much qualification or expertise than most of our EB3 firends.
I agree with you 100%.. should be by when your are in the queue.....or maybe a point system like in UK
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  #1433 (permalink)  
Old 05-12-2011, 01:05 PM
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What r the latest predictions guys....
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  #1434 (permalink)  
Old 05-12-2011, 01:08 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by vdlrao View Post
Any spill over to EB3 will first go to the EB3 people who have the oldest priority dates irrespective of the country. This will help EB3 India.


EB4 and EB5 Spills --> EB1 Spills --> EB2 Spills --> EB3 with old priority dates (India & China)--> EB3 ROW.



EB3 has a good future ahead, if the MNCs stops EB1C filings for their so called managers, who doesn't have much qualification or expertise than most of our EB3 firends.
Is that a assumption/opinion or fact ?

ROW has a higher preference over India and China, that is the reason why EB2I and EB2C are getting EB2 ROW spillover and not the other way around. In the same scenario EB3 ROW has priority over EB3 I and EB3 C.
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  #1435 (permalink)  
Old 05-12-2011, 01:13 PM
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Bulletin clearly states that spill over will first go to oldest priority date... so EB 3 I will get all the spill over visas...

Snippet from the june 2011 visa bulletin:

Note that under INA Section 203(e) all of the “otherwise unused” numbers must be provided strictly in priority date order regardless of the applicant’s chargeability.



Quote:
Originally Posted by EBX-Man View Post
Is that a assumption/opinion or fact ?

ROW has a higher preference over India and China, that is the reason why EB2I and EB2C are getting EB2 ROW spillover and not the other way around. In the same scenario EB3 ROW has priority over EB3 I and EB3 C.
__________________
PD: Jan/2008
140 Applied on: April 04/2008
140 Approved on: July/23/2008
I 485 Applied on: Yet to Apply..
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/immigrationvoiceny/
Contributed 200$
Disclaimer: I am not a lawyer. Please do not consider this as a legal advice.
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  #1436 (permalink)  
Old 05-12-2011, 01:14 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by EBX-Man View Post
ROW has a higher preference over India and China, that is the reason why EB2I and EB2C are getting EB2 ROW spillover and not the other way around. In the same scenario EB3 ROW has priority over EB3 I and EB3 C.
I am not aware of any preference for any country. If a category has spillover then that spillover is first absorbed by the most backlogged country in that category (e.g EB2ROW to EB2I/C, horizontal spillover) and if there is still spillover then it goes to the most backlogged country in the next category (EB4/5 to EB1 to EB2 to EB3, vertical spillover)

Last edited by imdeng; 05-12-2011 at 01:16 PM.
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  #1437 (permalink)  
Old 05-12-2011, 01:18 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by EBX-Man View Post
Is that a assumption/opinion or fact ?

ROW has a higher preference over India and China, that is the reason why EB2I and EB2C are getting EB2 ROW spillover and not the other way around. In the same scenario EB3 ROW has priority over EB3 I and EB3 C.
Eb2 row is always current..the one's EB2I and EB2C getting are unused EB2 ROW numbers and vertical spillover from EB1..
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  #1438 (permalink)  
Old 05-12-2011, 01:19 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by vdlrao View Post
EB3 has a good future ahead, if the MNCs stops EB1C filings for their so called managers, who doesn't have much qualification or expertise than most of our EB3 firends.
I am not sure. The outstanding demand for EB3 is way too much for it to move significantly without something like visa recapture. It might start moving quickly after EB2 becomes current - almost like EB2 is moving now. Still, even that means years of wait.

I am not EB3 but I sympathize with the pain of waiting for a decade or more!
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  #1439 (permalink)  
Old 05-12-2011, 01:19 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by akshaya10001 View Post
INDIA PERM Approvals:

With Great recession great spillover PD will move to mid 2007(June-Aug) then we need to consider last 3 years PERM DATA.
Oct'2007 to Sept'2008 : 16,569 + 3328(China)
Oct'2008 to Sept'2009 : 11,387 + 2112(China)
Oct'2009 to Sept'2010 : 28,930 + 4052(China)

.
Teddy,

Can I request you to look at the PERM numbers above and assuming similar spillover we will see this year, can you give a very rough estimate of where EB2 India will be around Sep 2012?

Thanks.
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  #1440 (permalink)  
Old 05-12-2011, 01:22 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by gujju View Post
Does anyone know how spill over from EB2 to EB3 works ?
Would EB3-I get the spill over first as they are the most backlogged country?
Spillover to EB3 will go to the person with earliest PD irrespective of the country quote => EB3-I
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